Troy at Arkansas State

Troy4-5

Arkansas State4-5

Saturday

Nov 28

Kickoff

3:00 PM ET

Centennial Bank Stadium · Jonesboro, AR

Troy

Arkansas State

Saturday

Nov 28

Kickoff

3:00 PM ET

Centennial Bank Stadium · Jonesboro, AR

Overview P x P Box Analytics

Last five games

Troy

L17-41vs LT

W24-21@ JMU

L14-21vs ULM

L6-33@ UL

W55-34vs USM

Arkansas State

L17-19vs ULM

W38-32vs GAST

W23-13@ USM

L49-56vs USA

L20-23@ UL

Head to head

Last 10 · 2012–2025

2025ARST 23 · TROY 10Sat, 11/1

2024TROY 31 · ARST 34Sat, 10/26

2023ARST 3 · TROY 37Sat, 10/7

2022TROY 48 · ARST 19Sat, 11/26

2020TROY 38 · ARST 10Sat, 10/31

2019ARST 50 · TROY 43Sat, 9/28

2017TROY 32 · ARST 25Sat, 12/2

2016ARST 35 · TROY 3Thu, 11/17

2013TROY 34 · ARST 41Thu, 9/12

2012ARST 41 · TROY 34Sat, 11/17

Game information

KickoffSaturday, Nov 28 · 3:00 PM ET

VenueCentennial Bank Stadium · Jonesboro, AR

SurfaceTurf · outdoor

Abbreviations

EPAExpected points added — the change in expected points from one play

SRSuccess rate — plays gaining 50% of the yards to go on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd or 4th

WPWin probability — the live model's read on who wins from here

Deserve to winCollegeFootballData's measure of who earned the result, independent of the score

ExplExplosiveness — average EPA on successful plays

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