Aggies vs Hornets

Gameday · SAT NOV 14

UC DavisVSSacramento State

Tip-off in

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––Hrs

––Min

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Tip8:00 PM ET

WatchESPN+

LineNot posted

The Well · Sacramento, CA

Win probability

1912 blend

64% UCDSAC 36%

Adj. efficiency64%

36%

SRS61%

39%

Elo67%

33%

UCD +0.5

Proj. margin

171.5

Proj. total

78.9

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 0B.FagbemiG · 7.0 APG13.0
• 4C.SevillaG · 1.3 APG12.7
• 20I.ChappellF · 4.3 RPG8.7
• 2J.StokesG · 0.3 APG12.0
• 21O.SuljanovicF · 5.7 RPG4.3

• 0L.Hughes IIG · 2.0 APG18.0
• 1M.WilliamsG · 4.5 APG15.5
• 12O.GradyF · 8.0 RPG10.0
• 10M.WilsonG · 2.5 APG10.5
• 22S.CianiF · 1.0 RPG3.5

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-0.4Adj. net rating-9.2

170thAdj. net rank268th

107.7Adj. offense104.9

108.1Adj. defense114.1

73.8Pace84.0

-0.7SRS-6.8

1682Elo1562

2–1Record1–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games / 2026-27 · 2 games

73.7Points83.5

66.7Opp points78.5

47.6%eFG%50.9%

21.0%TO%20.0%

27.6%OREB%16.7%

.52FT rate.67

41%3PA rate46%

62%Assisted FG%63%

Last five games

UC Davis

W81-69vs UIW

W65-52vs Menlo

L75-79vs UNA

L70-82@ CSUF

W79-73vs UCSB

Sacramento State

L77-83@ SCU

W90-74vs Jessup University

L45-68@ IDHO

W83-65vs IDST

L61-82@ MTST

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26SAC 73 · UCD 77Fri, 11/14

24-25UCD 69 · SAC 62Sat, 12/14

23-24SAC 69 · UCD 63Sun, 11/26

22-23SAC 71 · UCD 82Tue, 11/22

21-22UCD 63 · SAC 75Tue, 11/23

19-20SAC 61 · UCD 51Wed, 11/20

18-19UCD 55 · SAC 58Tue, 11/20

17-18SAC 47 · UCD 64Tue, 11/21

Game information

TipSaturday, Nov 14 · 8:00 PM ET

VenueThe Well · Sacramento, CA

WatchESPN+

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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