Thundering Herd vs Tar Heels
Tip9:00 PM ET
Watch
LineNot posted
Win probability
1912 blend9% MRSHUNC 91%
UNC +12.1
Proj. margin
163.7
Proj. total
73.5
Proj. pace
Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.
Projected starters
PPG
5G · 4.0 APG21.7
2G · 1.7 APG19.0
1G · 2.0 APG9.3
14C · 1.3 BPG2.3
45F · 0.7 RPG2.0
1G · 1.7 APG16.3
15F · 2.7 RPG8.3
17G · 4.0 APG7.3
3G · 2.0 APG11.7
214.7 RPG7.7
Ratings
CBBD · 2025-26-1.5Adj. net rating+23.3
183rdAdj. net rank27th
111.8Adj. offense121.7
113.4Adj. defense98.5
75.8Pace71.2
0.1SRS11.4
1645Elo1958
1–2Record3–0
Season per game
2026-27 · 3 games80.7Points88.3
76.7Opp points68.3
54.1%eFG%55.9%
18.0%TO%12.0%
24.2%OREB%26.3%
.24FT rate.44
39%3PA rate40%
40%Assisted FG%48%
Last five games
Marshall
L74-84@ OSU
L76-81vs TOL
W92-65vs BUF
L78-82vs GASO
L82-99vs GASO
North Carolina
W76-63vs WYO
W109-70vs WOF
W80-72vs WCU
L78-82vs VCU
L79-80vs CLEM
Game information
TipFriday, Nov 20 · 9:00 PM ET
VenueDean E. Smith Center · Chapel Hill, NC
WatchACC Network
Abbreviations
Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
PacePossessions per 40 minutes
PPGPoints per game
eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three
Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData
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