Falcons vs Roadrunners
Win probability
1912 blend30% AFAUTSA 70%
UTSA +4.0
Proj. margin
163.8
Proj. total
76.5
Proj. pace
Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.
Projected starters
PPG
334.8 RPG18.5
3G · 4.5 APG20.3
24F · 4.5 RPG16.0
10F · 8.7 RPG12.0
15G · 1.0 APG3.8
3G · 4.0 APG14.3
12G · 0.7 APG8.3
10G · 0.7 APG8.0
1G · 0.7 APG0.7
131.3 RPG0.7
Ratings
CBBD · 2025-26-21.9Adj. net rating-19.4
348thAdj. net rank339th
94.5Adj. offense99.1
116.4Adj. defense118.5
80.9Pace72.0
-16.2SRS-14.0
1174Elo1375
3–1Record2–1
Season per game
2026-27 · 4 games / 2026-27 · 3 games93.5Points76.7
83.8Opp points74.0
47.2%eFG%52.4%
13.0%TO%16.0%
43.4%OREB%32.6%
.50FT rate.24
39%3PA rate46%
51%Assisted FG%46%
Last five games
Air Force
W107-93vs LUC
W89-82vs IDST
W107-58vs Calumet College
L71-102@ WRST
L45-80@ NEV
UTSA
W86-59@ SEA
W70-68vs VMI
L74-95@ SJSU
L71-80@ RICE
L67-84vs WICH
Game information
TipSaturday, Nov 21 · time TBD
VenueUTSA Convocation Center · San Antonio, TX
Abbreviations
Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
PacePossessions per 40 minutes
PPGPoints per game
eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three
Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData
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