Falcons vs Black Knights
Win probability
1912 blend30% AFAARMY 70%
ARMY +0.8
Proj. margin
159.6
Proj. total
74.1
Proj. pace
Neutral site. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.
Projected starters
PPG
334.8 RPG18.5
3G · 4.5 APG20.3
24F · 4.5 RPG16.0
10F · 8.7 RPG12.0
15G · 1.0 APG3.8
2G · 3.7 APG9.3
10F · 5.0 RPG7.3
22G · 1.0 APG11.7
32F · 6.0 RPG6.3
3G · 0.7 APG3.3
Ratings
CBBD · 2025-26-21.9Adj. net rating-19.7
348thAdj. net rank340th
94.5Adj. offense100.1
116.4Adj. defense119.8
80.9Pace67.3
-16.2SRS-8.1
1174Elo1394
3–1Record1–2
Season per game
2026-27 · 4 games / 2026-27 · 3 games93.5Points74.3
83.8Opp points62.7
47.2%eFG%53.0%
13.0%TO%18.0%
43.4%OREB%29.1%
.50FT rate.22
39%3PA rate49%
51%Assisted FG%51%
Last five games
Air Force
W107-93vs LUC
W89-82vs IDST
W107-58vs Calumet College
L71-102@ WRST
L45-80@ NEV
Army
L55-63@ NHVN
W118-41vs Mount Saint Mary (NY)
L50-84@ DUKE
L55-65@ BUCK
L77-83@ LAF
Head to head
2017-18–2026-2721-22ARMY 58 · AFA 76Sat, 12/4
19-20AFA 69 · ARMY 57Tue, 11/12
18-19ARMY 66 · AFA 61Sat, 12/8
17-18AFA 54 · ARMY 79Sun, 12/17
Game information
TipTuesday, Nov 24 · time TBD
VenueUTSA Convocation Center · San Antonio, TX
Abbreviations
Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
PacePossessions per 40 minutes
PPGPoints per game
eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three
Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData
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