Flyers vs Seminoles

Gameday · SAT DEC 5

DaytonVSFlorida State

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

––Sec

Tip12:00 PM ET

WatchCW

LineNot posted

Tucker Center · Tallahassee, FL

Win probability

1912 blend

48% DAYFSU 52%

Adj. efficiency38%

62%

SRS39%

61%

Elo67%

33%

FSU +3.2

Proj. margin

157.3

Proj. total

72.6

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 4A.Derkack10.3 RPG22.0
• 2G.RandallF · 6.0 RPG7.0
• 29A.L'EtangF · 7.0 RPG15.0
• 5T.FordG · 3.0 APG13.0
• 11T.PerryG · 0.7 APG2.0

• 22S.RancikF · 4.0 RPG22.0
• 1S.AbaevG · 4.3 APG12.0
• 2A.Robinson IIG · 3.3 APG13.7
• 3K.TaylorG · 2.3 APG13.3
• 11M.Ponder8.0 RPG9.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+12.3Adj. net rating+12.9

69thAdj. net rank67th

111.3Adj. offense118.0

99.0Adj. defense105.1

72.0Pace73.2

5.6SRS5.8

1976Elo1851

1–2Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

84.7Points91.7

79.3Opp points72.7

55.6%eFG%52.6%

19.0%TO%14.0%

30.2%OREB%34.4%

.41FT rate.48

41%3PA rate38%

56%Assisted FG%45%

Last five games

Dayton

L89-99vs SIE

L76-81vs NIU

W89-58vs NJIT

L55-61vs ILST

W80-61@ UNCW

Florida State

L72-81vs FLA

W91-68vs TROY

W112-69vs FAMU

L79-80@ DUKE

W95-89vs CAL

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26FSU 69 · DAY 97Tue, 12/16

Game information

TipSaturday, Dec 5 · 12:00 PM ET

VenueTucker Center · Tallahassee, FL

WatchCW

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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