Musketeers vs Bearcats

Gameday · SAT DEC 5

XavierVSCincinnati

Tip-off in

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––Hrs

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Tip8:00 PM ET

WatchESPN2

LineNot posted

Fifth Third Arena · Cincinnati, OH

Win probability

1912 blend

15% XAVCIN 85%

Adj. efficiency19%

81%

SRS13%

87%

Elo11%

89%

CIN +6.2

Proj. margin

156.7

Proj. total

72.8

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 4F.BorovicaninF · 6.3 RPG7.7
• 3T.WashingtonG · 2.3 APG9.7
• 1M.NwokoC · 0.7 BPG12.0
• 24J.MilicevicF · 3.3 RPG10.3
• 9R.DominguezG · 0.7 APG6.7

• 2M.Collins Jr.G · 2.7 APG11.0
• 10T.RileyG · 3.7 APG12.0
• 6M.ColvinG · 0.7 APG12.0
• 8T.TejadaG · 2.0 APG7.7
• 11D.IwezeF · 4.0 RPG4.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+8.1Adj. net rating+17.1

96thAdj. net rank48th

116.4Adj. offense111.5

108.2Adj. defense94.4

77.8Pace67.8

-0.7SRS8.5

1634Elo1995

3–0Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

91.0Points73.7

53.3Opp points60.0

57.2%eFG%50.8%

16.0%TO%17.0%

25.5%OREB%34.3%

.35FT rate.29

40%3PA rate47%

68%Assisted FG%66%

Last five games

Xavier

W100-55vs DETM

W76-53vs EMU

W97-52vs MSM

L68-93@ CONN

W89-87@ MARQ

Cincinnati

L61-63vs MINN

W81-64vs GB

W79-53vs AMER

L65-66@ UCF

W73-66vs UTAH

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26CIN 74 · XAV 79Fri, 12/5

24-25XAV 65 · CIN 68Sat, 12/14

23-24CIN 79 · XAV 84Sat, 12/9

22-23XAV 80 · CIN 77Sat, 12/10

21-22CIN 63 · XAV 83Sat, 12/11

20-21XAV 77 · CIN 69Sun, 12/6

19-20CIN 66 · XAV 73Sat, 12/7

18-19XAV 47 · CIN 62Sat, 12/8

17-18CIN 76 · XAV 89Sat, 12/2

Game information

TipSaturday, Dec 5 · 8:00 PM ET

VenueFifth Third Arena · Cincinnati, OH

WatchESPN2

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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