Bulldogs vs Tar Heels
Tip3:00 PM ET
Watch
LineNot posted
Win probability
1912 blend13% BUTUNC 87%
UNC +7.5
Proj. margin
161.7
Proj. total
73.0
Proj. pace
Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.
Projected starters
PPG
1G · 5.3 APG17.7
8G · 5.3 APG16.0
333.7 RPG17.3
44F · 8.3 RPG12.0
13F · 6.3 RPG4.7
1G · 1.7 APG16.3
15F · 2.7 RPG8.3
17G · 4.0 APG7.3
3G · 2.0 APG11.7
214.7 RPG7.7
Ratings
CBBD · 2025-26+10.9Adj. net rating+23.3
81stAdj. net rank27th
116.9Adj. offense121.7
106.0Adj. defense98.5
74.8Pace71.2
1.7SRS11.4
1639Elo1958
2–1Record3–0
Season per game
2026-27 · 3 games92.0Points88.3
75.0Opp points68.3
57.2%eFG%55.9%
20.0%TO%12.0%
32.6%OREB%26.3%
.24FT rate.44
59%3PA rate40%
74%Assisted FG%48%
Last five games
Butler
L81-100@ BOIS
W99-65vs FDU
W96-60vs LAF
L81-91vs PROV
W81-71@ DEP
North Carolina
W76-63vs WYO
W109-70vs WOF
W80-72vs WCU
L78-82vs VCU
L79-80vs CLEM
Game information
TipSunday, Dec 6 · 3:00 PM ET
VenueDean E. Smith Center · Chapel Hill, NC
WatchESPN2
Abbreviations
Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
PacePossessions per 40 minutes
PPGPoints per game
eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three
Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData
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