Mustangs vs Buffaloes
Win probability
1912 blend21% CPCOLO 79%
COLO +8.9
Proj. margin
169.3
Proj. total
75.5
Proj. pace
Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.
Projected starters
PPG
10G · 1.3 APG21.3
14G · 2.7 APG11.0
5G · 1.7 APG5.3
1G · 2.3 APG10.3
11F · 4.0 RPG6.7
24G · 4.7 APG20.0
34F · 5.3 RPG7.0
11G · 0.7 APG8.7
0G · 1.7 APG13.7
5G · 1.3 APG12.3
Ratings
CBBD · 2025-26-4.8Adj. net rating+10.7
220thAdj. net rank84th
109.0Adj. offense118.1
113.9Adj. defense107.4
80.0Pace71.0
-3.6SRS3.9
1655Elo1752
1–2Record2–1
Season per game
2026-27 · 3 games77.7Points81.0
88.3Opp points70.3
52.4%eFG%59.0%
26.0%TO%18.0%
30.6%OREB%22.5%
.34FT rate.40
52%3PA rate45%
53%Assisted FG%60%
Last five games
Cal Poly
L71-99@ GCU
L84-104@ ARIZ
W78-62vs CSU San Marcos
L69-72@ UCSD
W108-76vs CSUB
Colorado
W83-75vs USD
L66-77@ SDSU
W94-59vs ACU
L86-90vs OU
L83-92vs OKST
Game information
TipTuesday, Dec 15 · time TBD
VenueCU Events Center · Boulder, CO
Abbreviations
Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
PacePossessions per 40 minutes
PPGPoints per game
eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three
Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData
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