Bengals vs Aggies

Gameday · THU DEC 17

Idaho StateVSUC Davis

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

University Credit Union Center · Davis, CA

Win probability

1912 blend

27% IDSTUCD 73%

Adj. efficiency22%

78%

SRS28%

72%

Elo31%

69%

UCD +5.7

Proj. margin

163.5

Proj. total

73.8

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 2M.Morris1.3 RPG18.0
• 4K.DeMuynck2.7 RPG6.0
• 14M.Johnson6.0 RPG9.0
• 10N.Amoran3.0 RPG3.7
• 3T.VirgilG · 0.3 APG1.7

• 0B.FagbemiG · 7.0 APG13.0
• 4C.SevillaG · 1.3 APG12.7
• 20I.ChappellF · 4.3 RPG8.7
• 2J.StokesG · 0.3 APG12.0
• 21O.SuljanovicF · 5.7 RPG4.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-7.6Adj. net rating-0.4

250thAdj. net rank170th

110.0Adj. offense107.7

117.6Adj. defense108.1

73.7Pace73.8

-4.1SRS-0.7

1546Elo1682

0–3Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

67.3Points73.7

92.0Opp points66.7

39.6%eFG%47.6%

20.0%TO%21.0%

46.9%OREB%27.6%

.41FT rate.52

40%3PA rate41%

50%Assisted FG%62%

Last five games

Idaho State

L82-89@ AFA

L62-93@ WYO

L58-94@ USU

L78-85@ PRST

W73-65vs NAU

UC Davis

W81-69vs UIW

W65-52vs Menlo

L75-79vs UNA

L70-82@ CSUF

W79-73vs UCSB

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26UCD 93 · IDST 83Sun, 12/21

20-21IDST 61 · UCD 70Sat, 11/28

Game information

TipThursday, Dec 17 · time TBD

VenueUniversity Credit Union Center · Davis, CA

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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