Wildcats vs Tar Heels
Tip2:30 PM ET
WatchTBA
LineNot posted
Win probability
1912 blend49% UKUNC 51%
UNC +0.0
Proj. margin
155.1
Proj. total
70.5
Proj. pace
Neutral site. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.
Projected starters
PPG
22F · 5.0 RPG12.0
5G · 1.3 APG17.3
10G · 2.3 APG11.7
24C · 1.0 BPG11.7
192.7 RPG3.7
1G · 1.7 APG16.3
15F · 2.7 RPG8.3
17G · 4.0 APG7.3
3G · 2.0 APG11.7
214.7 RPG7.7
Ratings
CBBD · 2025-26+23.2Adj. net rating+23.3
29thAdj. net rank27th
121.5Adj. offense121.7
98.3Adj. defense98.5
69.8Pace71.2
9.6SRS11.4
1992Elo1958
2–1Record3–0
Season per game
2026-27 · 3 games81.0Points88.3
75.3Opp points68.3
57.1%eFG%55.9%
18.0%TO%12.0%
28.7%OREB%26.3%
.27FT rate.44
44%3PA rate40%
52%Assisted FG%48%
Last five games
Kentucky
L69-89@ KU
W89-80vs JMU
W85-57vs MAN
L63-82@ ISU
W89-84vs SCU
North Carolina
W76-63vs WYO
W109-70vs WOF
W80-72vs WCU
L78-82vs VCU
L79-80vs CLEM
Head to head
2017-18–2026-2725-26UNC 67 · UK 64Tue, 12/2
23-24UNC 83 · UK 87Sat, 12/16
21-22UNC 69 · UK 98Sat, 12/18
20-21UNC 75 · UK 63Sat, 12/19
18-19UK 80 · UNC 72Sat, 12/22
Game information
TipSaturday, Dec 19 · 2:30 PM ET
VenueMadison Square Garden · New York, NY
Abbreviations
Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
PacePossessions per 40 minutes
PPGPoints per game
eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three
Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData
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