Red Raiders vs Blue Devils

Gameday · MON DEC 21

Texas TechAP #16VSDukeAP #2

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Madison Square Garden · New York, NY

Win probability

1912 blend

18% TTUDUKE 82%

Adj. efficiency18%

82%

SRS23%

77%

Elo13%

87%

DUKE +5.2

Proj. margin

159.7

Proj. total

72.4

Proj. pace

Neutral site. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 3C.DavisG · 4.3 APG16.7
• 12D.AtwellG · 1.3 APG8.7
• 5D.WilliamsF · 5.0 RPG3.7
• 4D.Gibbs-LawhornG · 3.0 APG15.0
• 33B.Bagayoko4.0 RPG4.0

• 13J.BlackwellG · 1.0 APG11.7
• 21P.Ngongba IIC · 2.0 BPG16.3
• 7D.SarrG · 2.3 APG11.3
• 2C.BoozerG · 5.7 APG8.7
• 30J.Boumtje5.3 RPG9.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+26.3Adj. net rating+40.4

20thAdj. net rank2nd

124.7Adj. offense129.2

98.5Adj. defense88.7

71.3Pace73.5

13.1SRS21.1

2020Elo2349

3–0Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

78.7Points90.0

59.3Opp points60.3

49.4%eFG%54.1%

16.0%TO%18.0%

34.7%OREB%35.4%

.50FT rate.57

49%3PA rate40%

48%Assisted FG%64%

Last five games

Texas Tech

W84-78vs ILL

W76-58vs BCU

W76-42vs JKST

L65-90@ ALA

W91-71vs AKR

Duke

L73-79vs MSU

W113-52vs CCU

W84-50vs ARMY

L72-73vs CONN

W80-75vs SJU

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26TTU 82 · DUKE 81Sat, 12/20

21-22TTU 73 · DUKE 78Thu, 3/24

18-19TTU 58 · DUKE 69Thu, 12/20

Game information

TipMonday, Dec 21 · time TBD

VenueMadison Square Garden · New York, NY

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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