Falcons vs Utes
Win probability
1912 blend5% AFAUTAH 95%
UTAH +12.7
Proj. margin
159.7
Proj. total
73.3
Proj. pace
Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.
Projected starters
PPG
334.8 RPG18.5
3G · 4.5 APG20.3
24F · 4.5 RPG16.0
10F · 8.7 RPG12.0
15G · 1.0 APG3.8
9G · 8.0 APG14.0
214.0 RPG14.7
2G · 1.7 APG13.3
1F · 6.0 RPG4.3
6G · 2.0 APG5.0
Ratings
CBBD · 2025-26-21.9Adj. net rating+4.6
348thAdj. net rank122nd
94.5Adj. offense114.7
116.4Adj. defense110.1
80.9Pace65.7
-16.2SRS-1.2
1174Elo1615
3–1Record3–0
Season per game
2026-27 · 4 games / 2026-27 · 3 games93.5Points72.7
83.8Opp points61.3
47.2%eFG%57.1%
13.0%TO%23.0%
43.4%OREB%25.2%
.50FT rate.41
39%3PA rate43%
51%Assisted FG%67%
Last five games
Air Force
W107-93vs LUC
W89-82vs IDST
W107-58vs Calumet College
L71-102@ WRST
L45-80@ NEV
Utah
W85-64vs WEB
W67-57vs TOW
W66-63vs LBSU
L66-73@ CIN
L75-101@ BAY
Game information
TipTuesday, Dec 29 · 10:00 PM ET
VenueJon M. Huntsman Center · Salt Lake City, UT
WatchESPN2
Abbreviations
Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
PacePossessions per 40 minutes
PPGPoints per game
eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three
Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData
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