Lopes vs Aggies

Gameday · SAT JAN 2

Grand CanyonVSUC Davis

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

University Credit Union Center · Davis, CA

Win probability

1912 blend

73% GCUUCD 27%

Adj. efficiency76%

24%

SRS64%

36%

Elo79%

21%

GCU +2.4

Proj. margin

162.9

Proj. total

76.3

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 1D.DarlingPG · 4.0 RPG12.0
• 10J.HenleyG · 2.3 APG17.7
• 13B.BarkleyF · 3.3 RPG8.0
• 2M.WilliamsG · 2.0 APG15.0
• 17E.DemirelC · 0.3 BPG5.0

• 0B.FagbemiG · 7.0 APG13.0
• 4C.SevillaG · 1.3 APG12.7
• 20I.ChappellF · 4.3 RPG8.7
• 2J.StokesG · 0.3 APG12.0
• 21O.SuljanovicF · 5.7 RPG4.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+13.8Adj. net rating-0.4

59thAdj. net rank170th

112.5Adj. offense107.7

98.7Adj. defense108.1

78.8Pace73.8

6.1SRS-0.7

1916Elo1682

3–0Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

100.3Points73.7

77.0Opp points66.7

57.5%eFG%47.6%

14.0%TO%21.0%

34.5%OREB%27.6%

.47FT rate.52

42%3PA rate41%

62%Assisted FG%62%

Last five games

Grand Canyon

W99-71vs CP

W99-81vs BCU

W103-79vs TXSO

L80-84vs NEV

W85-60vs FRES

UC Davis

W81-69vs UIW

W65-52vs Menlo

L75-79vs UNA

L70-82@ CSUF

W79-73vs UCSB

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

24-25UCD 75 · GCU 68Wed, 11/20

Game information

TipSaturday, Jan 2 · time TBD

VenueUniversity Credit Union Center · Davis, CA

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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