Cardinals vs Minutemen

Gameday · SAT JAN 2

Ball StateVSMassachusetts

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

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Tip2:00 PM ET

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Mullins Center · Amherst, MA

Win probability

1912 blend

28% BALLMASS 72%

Adj. efficiency18%

82%

SRS19%

81%

Elo47%

53%

MASS +6.5

Proj. margin

146.5

Proj. total

68.5

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 24M.JonesF · 8.3 RPG4.7
• 1T.LewisG · 0.3 APG7.3
• 0S.BlakeG · 3.3 APG15.0
• 5K.ParkerG · 0.0 APG8.5
• 2J.Guy-KingG · 1.3 APG14.7

• 3J.ClaytonG · 2.7 APG12.3
• 0D.CarbucciaG · 7.0 APG3.3
• 2D.Wimbley Jr.F · 8.0 RPG11.3
• 10J.WangF · 9.3 RPG17.7
• 1A.AhmedC · 4.0 BPG6.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-12.0Adj. net rating-1.8

294thAdj. net rank188th

97.7Adj. offense109.1

109.7Adj. defense110.9

69.8Pace67.3

-7.2SRS-0.7

1749Elo1768

1–2Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

70.0Points66.0

66.7Opp points64.3

46.8%eFG%46.5%

20.0%TO%21.0%

30.9%OREB%33.3%

.43FT rate.25

47%3PA rate35%

42%Assisted FG%56%

Last five games

Ball State

W89-64vs Brescia

L66-69vs INST

L55-67@ GASO

W85-69vs CMU

W74-71@ WMU

Massachusetts

W72-62vs UML

L55-71@ BC

W71-60@ TROY

L67-77@ TOL

W87-83@ M-OH

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26MASS 73 · BALL 74Tue, 2/24

25-26BALL 71 · MASS 79Sat, 1/10

21-22BALL 89 · MASS 86Sun, 11/21

Game information

TipSaturday, Jan 2 · 2:00 PM ET

VenueMullins Center · Amherst, MA

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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