Minutemen vs Bulls

Gameday · TUE JAN 5

MassachusettsVSBuffalo

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

––Sec

Tip6:30 PM ET

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Alumni Arena · Buffalo, NY

Win probability

1912 blend

46% MASSBUF 54%

Adj. efficiency41%

59%

SRS41%

59%

Elo55%

45%

BUF +2.8

Proj. margin

162.7

Proj. total

72.8

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 3J.ClaytonG · 2.7 APG12.3
• 0D.CarbucciaG · 7.0 APG3.3
• 2D.Wimbley Jr.F · 8.0 RPG11.3
• 10J.WangF · 9.3 RPG17.7
• 1A.AhmedC · 4.0 BPG6.0

• 21D.SteffeG · 5.3 APG17.3
• 2J.StarlingG · 2.3 APG7.7
• 9A.Lorick IIIF · 10.0 RPG17.0
• 10M.TyneG · 3.3 APG6.0
• 1J.PitreF · 2.7 RPG5.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-1.8Adj. net rating-2.4

188thAdj. net rank197th

109.1Adj. offense112.5

110.9Adj. defense114.9

67.3Pace78.2

-0.7SRS-1.2

1768Elo1734

2–1Record1–2

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

66.0Points77.7

64.3Opp points79.0

46.5%eFG%48.4%

21.0%TO%19.0%

33.3%OREB%26.9%

.25FT rate.37

35%3PA rate50%

56%Assisted FG%59%

Last five games

Massachusetts

W72-62vs UML

L55-71@ BC

W71-60@ TROY

L67-77@ TOL

W87-83@ M-OH

Buffalo

W107-65vs Penn State-Schuylkill

L61-80@ PITT

L65-92@ MRSH

L70-73@ AKR

L78-98@ TOL

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26BUF 86 · MASS 82Sat, 2/21

25-26MASS 68 · BUF 67Fri, 1/23

Game information

TipTuesday, Jan 5 · 6:30 PM ET

VenueAlumni Arena · Buffalo, NY

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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