Mountaineers vs Red Wolves

Gameday · THU JAN 7

App StateVSArkansas State

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

First National Bank Arena · Jonesboro, AR

Win probability

1912 blend

30% APPARST 70%

Adj. efficiency31%

69%

SRS30%

70%

Elo30%

70%

ARST +4.2

Proj. margin

152.6

Proj. total

70.6

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 9J.ColonG · 2.7 APG11.3
• 4E.BanksG · 2.7 APG10.0
• 5B.KopetzkiG · 1.3 APG8.0
• 23C.MoodieF · 4.0 RPG4.0
• 7T.NealG · 1.7 APG5.0

• 33L.TaylorG · 5.0 APG17.0
• 14A.DoumbiaF · 8.3 RPG6.0
• 3R.SmithG · 3.3 APG5.7
• 4D.MuonF · 4.3 RPG4.3
• 2T.Ferguson5.0 RPG10.5

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-2.4Adj. net rating+1.0

197thAdj. net rank157th

105.4Adj. offense110.0

107.8Adj. defense109.0

63.2Pace78.0

0.3SRS3.1

1729Elo1873

2–1Record1–2

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

74.7Points74.0

55.7Opp points84.3

52.2%eFG%44.2%

17.0%TO%17.0%

36.6%OREB%41.7%

.28FT rate.28

53%3PA rate51%

54%Assisted FG%57%

Last five games

App State

L53-75@ AUB

W108-43vs Christendom

W63-49@ MRMK

L73-86vs USM

L57-60@ TXST

Arkansas State

L65-82vs UTM

L86-101@ ALA

W71-70vs TOL

L77-80vs GASO

W81-58vs UL

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

24-25APP 55 · ARST 65Thu, 1/23

23-24ARST 67 · APP 65Sun, 3/10

23-24ARST 57 · APP 80Fri, 3/1

22-23ARST 51 · APP 63Sat, 1/28

21-22APP 60 · ARST 62Fri, 2/25

21-22ARST 54 · APP 61Thu, 1/27

19-20APP 71 · ARST 64Thu, 1/30

19-20ARST 80 · APP 83Thu, 1/16

18-19APP 81 · ARST 82Thu, 1/24

17-18APP 79 · ARST 82Thu, 2/22

Game information

TipThursday, Jan 7 · time TBD

VenueFirst National Bank Arena · Jonesboro, AR

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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