Aggies vs Hilltoppers

Gameday · THU JAN 7

New Mexico StateVSWestern Kentucky

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

E.A. Diddle Arena · Bowling Green, KY

Win probability

1912 blend

38% NMSUWKU 62%

Adj. efficiency35%

65%

SRS35%

65%

Elo44%

56%

WKU +3.6

Proj. margin

155.9

Proj. total

71.3

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 4J.OsborneF · 3.5 RPG8.0
• 0D.DudleyG · 1.5 APG16.0
• 32M.LavrenovF · 7.0 RPG18.0
• 1G.PickensG · 5.0 APG3.0
• 24L.LevillainF · 4.0 RPG4.0

• 12A.BooneG · 3.0 APG10.5
• 30T.MooreG · 1.8 APG19.3
• 6E.WalkerF · 4.3 RPG3.8
• 13E.Erkins-FordF · 2.8 RPG8.0
• 3S.YoungG · 5.5 APG8.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-0.9Adj. net rating+0.9

176thAdj. net rank158th

109.5Adj. offense109.0

110.4Adj. defense108.1

69.3Pace73.4

-0.5SRS0.6

1754Elo1798

1–1Record3–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 2 games / 2026-27 · 4 games

70.5Points84.3

87.5Opp points63.5

47.6%eFG%48.9%

21.0%TO%13.0%

30.2%OREB%35.3%

.43FT rate.33

33%3PA rate31%

42%Assisted FG%52%

Last five games

New Mexico State

L68-109@ GONZ

W73-66vs Western New Mexico

L61-69@ SHSU

W68-63@ JVST

W79-76vs KENN

Western Kentucky

W78-51vs Campbellsville

L94-97@ TNTC

W82-48vs Kentucky Wesleyan

W83-58vs MORE

L87-96vs KENN

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26NMSU 70 · WKU 93Thu, 2/26

25-26WKU 64 · NMSU 80Thu, 1/8

24-25WKU 47 · NMSU 65Sat, 3/1

24-25NMSU 69 · WKU 101Sat, 2/1

23-24NMSU 69 · WKU 89Thu, 3/14

23-24NMSU 58 · WKU 72Sat, 2/17

23-24WKU 70 · NMSU 72Thu, 1/18

Game information

TipThursday, Jan 7 · time TBD

VenueE.A. Diddle Arena · Bowling Green, KY

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

An independent fan community, not affiliated with the University of Louisville.