Bearkats vs Blue Raiders

Gameday · THU JAN 7

Sam HoustonVSMiddle Tennessee

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Murphy Center · Murfreesboro, TN

Win probability

1912 blend

53% SHSUMTSU 47%

Adj. efficiency51%

49%

SRS51%

49%

Elo55%

45%

SHSU +1.3

Proj. margin

165.9

Proj. total

75.3

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 2J.ColemanG · 1.0 APG16.3
• 10E.BernardF · 7.3 RPG6.3
• 11A.McDowell3.7 RPG16.0
• 5J.BeggG · 4.7 APG10.3
• 18R.GreppiF · 4.7 RPG4.3

• 2J.CarterG · 5.3 APG12.3
• 1Q.Barnett4.0 RPG15.3
• 9O.NavehF · 6.3 RPG4.0
• 0K.SilerC · 1.3 BPG7.7
• 22M.Whitlock Jr.G · 1.3 APG12.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+5.2Adj. net rating+0.7

112thAdj. net rank159th

113.6Adj. offense109.8

108.3Adj. defense109.1

78.0Pace72.5

3.5SRS0.2

1827Elo1789

2–1Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

87.0Points78.3

77.3Opp points76.7

51.0%eFG%50.8%

21.0%TO%18.0%

33.5%OREB%35.0%

.41FT rate.26

40%3PA rate43%

49%Assisted FG%55%

Last five games

Sam Houston

W85-77vs PEPP

W102-59vs Howard Payne

L74-96@ ALA

L83-107@ UNM

L73-79vs KENN

Middle Tennessee

W73-68vs EVAN

L45-89@ KU

W117-73vs Fisk

L69-80@ LT

W75-63@ MOST

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26MTSU 70 · SHSU 78Wed, 2/18

25-26SHSU 67 · MTSU 68Sun, 1/4

24-25SHSU 70 · MTSU 74Sat, 2/22

24-25MTSU 77 · SHSU 75Thu, 1/23

23-24MTSU 64 · SHSU 81Sat, 3/2

23-24SHSU 60 · MTSU 51Sat, 1/13

Game information

TipThursday, Jan 7 · time TBD

VenueMurphy Center · Murfreesboro, TN

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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