Retrievers vs Black Bears
Win probability
1912 blend85% UMBCME 15%
UMBC +3.5
Proj. margin
154.2
Proj. total
73.0
Proj. pace
Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.
Projected starters
PPG
1G · 2.3 APG10.3
13G · 1.3 APG16.3
43.3 RPG10.3
12F · 7.7 RPG4.0
23F · 5.7 RPG11.7
2G · 2.3 APG10.3
11F · 4.0 RPG7.0
1G · 1.5 APG9.8
10F · 4.5 RPG5.3
8G · 0.8 APG6.0
Ratings
CBBD · 2025-26-2.5Adj. net rating-20.2
200thAdj. net rank341st
108.3Adj. offense91.5
110.8Adj. defense111.7
75.3Pace70.8
3.5SRS-8.4
1887Elo1442
2–2Record1–3
Season per game
2026-27 · 4 games77.5Points64.3
75.3Opp points73.5
48.9%eFG%49.5%
18.0%TO%23.0%
27.7%OREB%18.8%
.24FT rate.43
46%3PA rate44%
54%Assisted FG%64%
Last five games
UMBC
W91-61vs McDaniel
L80-88@ MRST
L54-82@ GMU
L83-86@ HOW
W74-59vs UVM
Maine
L65-71@ URI
L62-68vs MAN
W74-72@ SHU
L56-83@ PROV
L58-60@ NJIT
Head to head
Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-2725-26UMBC 78 · ME 62Thu, 2/12
25-26ME 62 · UMBC 69Thu, 1/8
24-25UMBC 50 · ME 73Sat, 2/8
24-25ME 87 · UMBC 62Sat, 1/18
23-24UMBC 56 · ME 62Thu, 2/22
23-24ME 65 · UMBC 70Thu, 1/18
22-23UMBC 49 · ME 84Sat, 2/4
22-23ME 77 · UMBC 85Sat, 1/14
21-22ME 79 · UMBC 93Sat, 2/26
21-22UMBC 88 · ME 46Sat, 1/22
Game information
TipSaturday, Jan 9 · time TBD
VenueThe Pit in Memorial Gymnasium · Orono, ME
Abbreviations
Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
PacePossessions per 40 minutes
PPGPoints per game
eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three
Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData
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