Panthers vs Red Wolves

Gameday · SAT JAN 9

Georgia StateVSArkansas State

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

First National Bank Arena · Jonesboro, AR

Win probability

1912 blend

10% GASTARST 90%

Adj. efficiency11%

89%

SRS11%

89%

Elo9%

91%

ARST +8.1

Proj. margin

159.0

Proj. total

74.0

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 14J.JacksonG · 1.3 APG18.0
• 4J.MeyerG · 6.3 APG19.8
• 12D.ThomasG · 2.5 APG10.3
• 10J.Fredson-ColeF · 10.3 RPG13.3
• 0C.JonesG · 0.5 APG11.0

• 33L.TaylorG · 5.0 APG17.0
• 14A.DoumbiaF · 8.3 RPG6.0
• 3R.SmithG · 3.3 APG5.7
• 4D.MuonF · 4.3 RPG4.3
• 2T.Ferguson5.0 RPG10.5

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-12.9Adj. net rating+1.0

303rdAdj. net rank157th

99.0Adj. offense110.0

111.9Adj. defense109.0

69.9Pace78.0

-7.5SRS3.1

1474Elo1873

1–3Record1–2

Season per game

2026-27 · 4 games / 2026-27 · 3 games

85.8Points74.0

77.3Opp points84.3

55.3%eFG%44.2%

15.0%TO%17.0%

31.3%OREB%41.7%

.25FT rate.28

44%3PA rate51%

45%Assisted FG%57%

Last five games

Georgia State

L92-95@ FRES

W111-61vs Andrew

L67-77@ CLT

L73-76vs BGSU

L75-84@ UL

Arkansas State

L65-82vs UTM

L86-101@ ALA

W71-70vs TOL

L77-80vs GASO

W81-58vs UL

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26ARST 81 · GAST 82Sat, 1/24

24-25GAST 59 · ARST 85Sat, 1/18

23-24ARST 90 · GAST 91Sat, 12/30

22-23GAST 70 · ARST 75Sat, 2/18

21-22ARST 62 · GAST 65Sat, 3/5

20-21ARST 68 · GAST 71Sat, 3/6

19-20GAST 87 · ARST 90Mon, 1/6

18-19ARST 60 · GAST 76Thu, 2/28

17-18GAST 77 · ARST 66Thu, 2/1

17-18ARST 75 · GAST 79Sat, 1/6

Game information

TipSaturday, Jan 9 · time TBD

VenueFirst National Bank Arena · Jonesboro, AR

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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