Falcons vs Rainbow Warriors
Win probability
1912 blend2% AFAHAW 98%
HAW +13.9
Proj. margin
161.2
Proj. total
76.6
Proj. pace
Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.
Projected starters
PPG
334.8 RPG18.5
3G · 4.5 APG20.3
24F · 4.5 RPG16.0
10F · 8.7 RPG12.0
15G · 1.0 APG3.8
2G · 3.3 APG14.0
24F · 6.0 RPG12.8
12F · 4.5 RPG17.5
1G · 2.8 APG10.3
0G · 1.7 APG14.0
Ratings
CBBD · 2025-26-21.9Adj. net rating+6.6
348thAdj. net rank103rd
94.5Adj. offense108.2
116.4Adj. defense101.7
80.9Pace72.3
-16.2SRS4.1
1174Elo1774
3–1Record3–1
Season per game
2026-27 · 4 games93.5Points81.8
83.8Opp points63.0
47.2%eFG%50.4%
13.0%TO%14.0%
43.4%OREB%37.4%
.50FT rate.29
39%3PA rate41%
51%Assisted FG%52%
Last five games
Air Force
W107-93vs LUC
W89-82vs IDST
W107-58vs Calumet College
L71-102@ WRST
L45-80@ NEV
Hawai'i
L66-73vs PORT
W71-62vs UTA
W116-44vs Bethesda University
W74-73vs SEA
L78-97@ ARK
Game information
TipTuesday, Jan 12 · time TBD
VenueStan Sheriff Center · Honolulu, HI
Abbreviations
Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
PacePossessions per 40 minutes
PPGPoints per game
eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three
Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData
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