Retrievers vs Bulldogs
Win probability
1912 blend88% UMBCBRY 12%
UMBC +4.6
Proj. margin
160.3
Proj. total
74.0
Proj. pace
Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.
Projected starters
PPG
1G · 2.3 APG10.3
13G · 1.3 APG16.3
43.3 RPG10.3
12F · 7.7 RPG4.0
23F · 5.7 RPG11.7
14F · 6.5 RPG12.0
15F · 7.3 RPG7.3
5F · 4.3 RPG11.5
1G · 3.5 APG5.5
82.5 RPG3.0
Ratings
CBBD · 2025-26-2.5Adj. net rating-22.9
200thAdj. net rank352nd
108.3Adj. offense95.4
110.8Adj. defense118.4
75.3Pace72.8
3.5SRS-10.1
1887Elo1396
2–2Record1–3
Season per game
2026-27 · 4 games77.5Points62.5
75.3Opp points71.8
48.9%eFG%45.6%
18.0%TO%24.0%
27.7%OREB%26.5%
.24FT rate.30
46%3PA rate56%
54%Assisted FG%59%
Last five games
UMBC
W91-61vs McDaniel
L80-88@ MRST
L54-82@ GMU
L83-86@ HOW
W74-59vs UVM
Bryant
L55-78@ PROV
L59-68vs FAIR
L56-66@ QUIN
W80-75vs SIE
L57-77@ UVM
Head to head
2017-18–2026-2725-26BRY 58 · UMBC 70Thu, 2/26
25-26UMBC 74 · BRY 79Thu, 1/15
24-25UMBC 74 · BRY 85Sat, 3/8
24-25UMBC 79 · BRY 81Sat, 2/15
24-25BRY 92 · UMBC 86Thu, 1/30
23-24UMBC 95 · BRY 99Thu, 2/1
23-24BRY 81 · UMBC 67Sat, 1/6
22-23BRY 73 · UMBC 76Sat, 2/11
22-23UMBC 81 · BRY 73Sun, 1/8
Game information
TipThursday, Jan 14 · time TBD
VenueChace Athletic Center · Smithfield, RI
Abbreviations
Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
PacePossessions per 40 minutes
PPGPoints per game
eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three
Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData
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