Blue Raiders vs Flames

Gameday · THU JAN 14

Middle TennesseeVSLiberty

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Liberty Arena · Lynchburg, VA

Win probability

1912 blend

35% MTSULIB 65%

Adj. efficiency28%

72%

SRS28%

72%

Elo50%

50%

LIB +4.7

Proj. margin

159.1

Proj. total

71.0

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 2J.CarterG · 5.3 APG12.3
• 1Q.Barnett4.0 RPG15.3
• 9O.NavehF · 6.3 RPG4.0
• 0K.SilerC · 1.3 BPG7.7
• 22M.Whitlock Jr.G · 1.3 APG12.3

• 11E.Sancomb7.5 RPG12.0
• 1Z.CarterG · 3.5 APG17.5
• 3C.CampbellG · 3.5 APG13.0
• 2E.Herbert3.0 RPG5.0
• 4D.Claussen3.0 RPG2.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+0.7Adj. net rating+5.6

159thAdj. net rank109th

109.8Adj. offense117.4

109.1Adj. defense111.8

72.5Pace69.5

0.2SRS3.5

1789Elo1787

2–1Record1–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games / 2026-27 · 2 games

78.3Points85.0

76.7Opp points63.0

50.8%eFG%59.2%

18.0%TO%13.0%

35.0%OREB%27.6%

.26FT rate.18

43%3PA rate44%

55%Assisted FG%52%

Last five games

Middle Tennessee

W73-68vs EVAN

L45-89@ KU

W117-73vs Fisk

L69-80@ LT

W75-63@ MOST

Liberty

W113-54vs Boyce

L57-72@ HPU

L63-73@ NEV

W77-71@ GMU

L69-77vs MOST

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26LIB 81 · MTSU 65Thu, 1/29

24-25LIB 86 · MTSU 81Thu, 3/6

24-25MTSU 63 · LIB 73Sat, 1/4

23-24LIB 61 · MTSU 69Tue, 3/5

23-24MTSU 53 · LIB 88Thu, 2/8

Game information

TipThursday, Jan 14 · time TBD

VenueLiberty Arena · Lynchburg, VA

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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