Falcons vs Bulls

Gameday · SAT JAN 16

Bowling GreenVSBuffalo

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Alumni Arena · Buffalo, NY

Win probability

1912 blend

57% BGSUBUF 43%

Adj. efficiency52%

48%

SRS50%

50%

Elo68%

32%

BGSU +1.2

Proj. margin

158.0

Proj. total

72.0

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 4J.ShackelfordG · 3.0 APG18.5
• 7Z.HowellG · 1.0 APG20.0
• 3M.LeachG · 5.0 APG17.0
• 0T.BeckfordF · 4.5 RPG12.0
• 13P.SquireF · 4.5 RPG7.0

• 21D.SteffeG · 5.3 APG17.3
• 2J.StarlingG · 2.3 APG7.7
• 9A.Lorick IIIF · 10.0 RPG17.0
• 10M.TyneG · 3.3 APG6.0
• 1J.PitreF · 2.7 RPG5.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+2.5Adj. net rating-2.4

140thAdj. net rank197th

107.0Adj. offense112.5

104.5Adj. defense114.9

65.8Pace78.2

1.9SRS-1.2

1861Elo1734

2–0Record1–2

Season per game

2026-27 · 2 games / 2026-27 · 3 games

85.5Points77.7

76.0Opp points79.0

64.5%eFG%48.4%

16.0%TO%19.0%

28.4%OREB%26.9%

.39FT rate.37

45%3PA rate50%

52%Assisted FG%59%

Last five games

Bowling Green

W95-79vs CLE

W76-73@ GAST

L76-77@ TOL

W77-69@ EMU

W81-62vs MASS

Buffalo

W107-65vs Penn State-Schuylkill

L61-80@ PITT

L65-92@ MRSH

L70-73@ AKR

L78-98@ TOL

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26BUF 89 · BGSU 78Tue, 1/27

24-25BGSU 63 · BUF 59Sat, 2/15

24-25BUF 61 · BGSU 79Tue, 1/14

23-24BUF 73 · BGSU 87Tue, 2/6

22-23BGSU 71 · BUF 100Tue, 1/17

21-22BUF 112 · BGSU 85Tue, 2/15

21-22BGSU 88 · BUF 99Wed, 1/5

20-21BGSU 76 · BUF 69Fri, 1/15

20-21BUF 78 · BGSU 86Sun, 12/6

19-20BUF 88 · BGSU 84Fri, 3/6

Game information

TipSaturday, Jan 16 · time TBD

VenueAlumni Arena · Buffalo, NY

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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