Great Danes vs Retrievers

Gameday · MON JAN 18

UAlbanyVSUMBC

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena · Baltimore, MD

Win probability

1912 blend

13% ALBUMBC 87%

Adj. efficiency13%

87%

SRS13%

87%

Elo15%

85%

UMBC +7.7

Proj. margin

158.0

Proj. total

71.7

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 2O.Engen3.8 RPG18.0
• 14Z.MatuluG · 1.0 APG9.0
• 23U.Graham6.3 RPG9.5
• 7A.FallG · 0.0 APG4.8
• 1T.Jones2.8 RPG16.8

• 1F.BurtonG · 2.3 APG10.3
• 13D.CeaserG · 1.3 APG16.3
• 4A.Able3.3 RPG10.3
• 12J.RisticF · 7.7 RPG4.0
• 23R.JacobsF · 5.7 RPG11.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-15.7Adj. net rating-2.5

317thAdj. net rank200th

102.9Adj. offense108.3

118.6Adj. defense110.8

68.1Pace75.3

-6.0SRS3.5

1582Elo1887

2–2Record2–2

Season per game

2026-27 · 4 games

70.5Points77.5

73.3Opp points75.3

49.0%eFG%48.9%

20.0%TO%18.0%

36.2%OREB%27.7%

.27FT rate.24

31%3PA rate46%

49%Assisted FG%54%

Last five games

UAlbany

L76-85vs DART

L60-73vs MRMK

W72-68@ MAN

W74-67vs Rhode Island College

L76-81@ UML

UMBC

W91-61vs McDaniel

L80-88@ MRST

L54-82@ GMU

L83-86@ HOW

W74-59vs UVM

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26ALB 62 · UMBC 66Sat, 2/21

25-26UMBC 68 · ALB 65Sat, 1/31

24-25ALB 78 · UMBC 74Thu, 2/27

24-25UMBC 92 · ALB 87Thu, 1/23

23-24ALB 75 · UMBC 80Sat, 2/17

23-24UMBC 114 · ALB 102Sat, 2/3

22-23UMBC 74 · ALB 81Wed, 2/15

22-23ALB 83 · UMBC 92Thu, 1/5

21-22UMBC 59 · ALB 53Wed, 2/2

21-22ALB 66 · UMBC 54Wed, 1/19

Game information

TipMonday, Jan 18 · time TBD

VenueChesapeake Employers Insurance Arena · Baltimore, MD

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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