Rockets vs Cardinals

Gameday · TUE JAN 19

ToledoVSBall State

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Worthen Arena · Muncie, IN

Win probability

1912 blend

75% TOLBALL 25%

Adj. efficiency77%

23%

SRS73%

27%

Elo74%

26%

TOL +2.5

Proj. margin

155.8

Proj. total

72.0

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 5M.StrongG · 2.5 APG16.8
• 1S.JonesG · 6.8 APG8.5
• 32J.OuwingaF · 7.5 RPG12.3
• 25A.ParksC · 1.7 BPG7.0
• 11W.James Jr.G · 0.8 APG4.3

• 24M.JonesF · 8.3 RPG4.7
• 1T.LewisG · 0.3 APG7.3
• 0S.BlakeG · 3.3 APG15.0
• 5K.ParkerG · 0.0 APG8.5
• 2J.Guy-KingG · 1.3 APG14.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+3.3Adj. net rating-12.0

130thAdj. net rank294th

114.2Adj. offense97.7

111.0Adj. defense109.7

74.3Pace69.8

2.6SRS-7.2

1932Elo1749

1–3Record1–2

Season per game

2026-27 · 4 games / 2026-27 · 3 games

70.0Points70.0

78.5Opp points66.7

42.9%eFG%46.8%

14.0%TO%20.0%

31.1%OREB%30.9%

.33FT rate.43

30%3PA rate47%

62%Assisted FG%42%

Last five games

Toledo

L68-76vs WRST

W81-76@ MRSH

L61-91@ MSU

L70-71@ ARST

L76-79@ AKR

Ball State

W89-64vs Brescia

L66-69vs INST

L55-67@ GASO

W85-69vs CMU

W74-71@ WMU

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26BALL 55 · TOL 73Sat, 1/31

24-25BALL 66 · TOL 67Tue, 2/18

24-25TOL 93 · BALL 75Sat, 1/18

23-24BALL 72 · TOL 77Sat, 1/13

22-23TOL 87 · BALL 81Fri, 3/3

22-23BALL 90 · TOL 83Tue, 1/3

21-22TOL 83 · BALL 93Fri, 2/4

21-22BALL 70 · TOL 83Tue, 1/18

20-21BALL 89 · TOL 91Thu, 3/11

20-21BALL 70 · TOL 89Fri, 3/5

Game information

TipTuesday, Jan 19 · time TBD

VenueWorthen Arena · Muncie, IN

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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