Catamounts vs Retrievers

Gameday · THU JAN 21

VermontVSUMBC

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

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Tip6:00 PM ET

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena · Baltimore, MD

Win probability

1912 blend

29% UVMUMBC 71%

Adj. efficiency32%

68%

SRS31%

69%

Elo25%

75%

UMBC +4.1

Proj. margin

152.0

Proj. total

69.3

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 12W.Davies5.0 RPG16.0
• 5J.BroomG · 1.3 APG7.3
• 19G.YaldenF · 5.3 RPG19.0
• 34N.BarnettF · 4.7 RPG5.3
• 3D.YepdoG · 1.0 APG8.7

• 1F.BurtonG · 2.3 APG10.3
• 13D.CeaserG · 1.3 APG16.3
• 4A.Able3.3 RPG10.3
• 12J.RisticF · 7.7 RPG4.0
• 23R.JacobsF · 5.7 RPG11.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-5.5Adj. net rating-2.5

226thAdj. net rank200th

107.0Adj. offense108.3

112.6Adj. defense110.8

63.3Pace75.3

1.2SRS3.5

1693Elo1887

1–2Record2–2

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games / 2026-27 · 4 games

70.0Points77.5

67.3Opp points75.3

53.4%eFG%48.9%

19.0%TO%18.0%

31.3%OREB%27.7%

.31FT rate.24

41%3PA rate46%

39%Assisted FG%54%

Last five games

Vermont

L76-79vs QUIN

W79-67@ FAIR

L55-56@ IONA

L59-74@ UMBC

W63-54vs NJIT

UMBC

W91-61vs McDaniel

L80-88@ MRST

L54-82@ GMU

L83-86@ HOW

W74-59vs UVM

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26UVM 59 · UMBC 74Sat, 3/14

25-26UVM 62 · UMBC 75Thu, 2/19

25-26UMBC 55 · UVM 64Thu, 1/29

24-25UVM 79 · UMBC 69Sat, 3/1

24-25UMBC 80 · UVM 63Sat, 1/25

23-24UVM 72 · UMBC 70Sat, 2/10

23-24UMBC 72 · UVM 77Thu, 1/11

22-23UMBC 68 · UVM 74Sat, 1/28

22-23UVM 74 · UMBC 61Sun, 1/1

21-22UMBC 43 · UVM 82Sat, 3/12

Game information

TipThursday, Jan 21 · 6:00 PM ET

VenueChesapeake Employers Insurance Arena · Baltimore, MD

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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