Rockets vs Bulls

Gameday · SAT JAN 23

ToledoVSBuffalo

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Alumni Arena · Buffalo, NY

Win probability

1912 blend

61% TOLBUF 39%

Adj. efficiency55%

45%

SRS53%

47%

Elo76%

24%

TOL +0.9

Proj. margin

172.6

Proj. total

76.3

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 5M.StrongG · 2.5 APG16.8
• 1S.JonesG · 6.8 APG8.5
• 32J.OuwingaF · 7.5 RPG12.3
• 25A.ParksC · 1.7 BPG7.0
• 11W.James Jr.G · 0.8 APG4.3

• 21D.SteffeG · 5.3 APG17.3
• 2J.StarlingG · 2.3 APG7.7
• 9A.Lorick IIIF · 10.0 RPG17.0
• 10M.TyneG · 3.3 APG6.0
• 1J.PitreF · 2.7 RPG5.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+3.3Adj. net rating-2.4

130thAdj. net rank197th

114.2Adj. offense112.5

111.0Adj. defense114.9

74.3Pace78.2

2.6SRS-1.2

1932Elo1734

1–3Record1–2

Season per game

2026-27 · 4 games / 2026-27 · 3 games

70.0Points77.7

78.5Opp points79.0

42.9%eFG%48.4%

14.0%TO%19.0%

31.1%OREB%26.9%

.33FT rate.37

30%3PA rate50%

62%Assisted FG%59%

Last five games

Toledo

L68-76vs WRST

W81-76@ MRSH

L61-91@ MSU

L70-71@ ARST

L76-79@ AKR

Buffalo

W107-65vs Penn State-Schuylkill

L61-80@ PITT

L65-92@ MRSH

L70-73@ AKR

L78-98@ TOL

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26BUF 78 · TOL 98Fri, 3/6

24-25TOL 74 · BUF 87Sat, 3/1

24-25BUF 74 · TOL 87Tue, 2/4

23-24TOL 85 · BUF 79Sat, 3/2

23-24BUF 66 · TOL 77Tue, 1/16

22-23BUF 71 · TOL 101Sat, 2/25

22-23TOL 86 · BUF 77Fri, 1/20

21-22TOL 92 · BUF 76Tue, 3/1

21-22BUF 75 · TOL 86Tue, 1/25

20-21TOL 80 · BUF 70Fri, 2/19

Game information

TipSaturday, Jan 23 · time TBD

VenueAlumni Arena · Buffalo, NY

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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