Bison vs Fighting Hawks

Gameday · FRI JAN 29

North Dakota StateVSNorth Dakota

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Betty Engelstad Sioux Center · Grand Forks, ND

Win probability

1912 blend

52% NDSUUND 48%

Adj. efficiency31%

69%

SRS63%

37%

Elo61%

39%

NDSU +4.3

Proj. margin

152.5

Proj. total

68.5

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 0R.Diaz IIIG · 2.5 APG14.0
• 44A.NagyF · 4.0 RPG9.5
• 1M.Bell Jr.G · 0.5 APG6.8
• 3K.Tate6.0 RPG3.5
• 5A.StefonowiczG · 5.0 APG8.7

• 12S.HincapieG · 0.7 APG17.0
• 1Z.KraftG · 0.3 APG6.3
• 14L.Winkel0.7 RPG12.0
• 22J.JonesC · 0.0 BPG2.3
• 0C.Evanson3.3 RPG6.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2026-27

-5.3Adj. net rating-1.6

282ndAdj. net rank214th

109.6Adj. offense109.6

115.0Adj. defense111.2

67.5Pace69.5

-6.8SRS-13.5

1445Elo1370

2–3Record1–2

Season per game

2026-27 · 5 games / 2026-27 · 3 games

77.2Points73.3

83.0Opp points89.0

51.1%eFG%45.1%

18.0%TO%14.0%

41.3%OREB%41.7%

.31FT rate.40

47%3PA rate41%

46%Assisted FG%40%

Last five games

North Dakota State

L80-91@ CSUB

L70-79@ SF

L64-105@ SMC

W90-59vs Minnesota Crookston

L67-92@ MSU

North Dakota

L77-92@ CLEM

W93-90@ WIN

L50-85@ MINN

L62-70@ NDSU

W67-66@ STMN

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26UND 62 · NDSU 70Sun, 3/8

25-26UND 63 · NDSU 96Sat, 2/28

25-26NDSU 83 · UND 66Sat, 2/14

24-25NDSU 77 · UND 79Sat, 2/22

24-25UND 82 · NDSU 87Sat, 1/25

23-24UND 68 · NDSU 73Sat, 2/24

23-24NDSU 58 · UND 60Sat, 2/3

22-23UND 75 · NDSU 91Fri, 1/27

22-23NDSU 71 · UND 49Fri, 12/30

21-22NDSU 79 · UND 53Sat, 2/26

Game information

TipFriday, Jan 29 · time TBD

VenueBetty Engelstad Sioux Center · Grand Forks, ND

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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