Fighting Illini vs Tar Heels

Gameday · SAT JAN 30

IllinoisAP #3VSNorth Carolina

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Bridgestone Arena · Nashville, TN

Win probability

1912 blend

83% ILLUNC 17%

Adj. efficiency83%

17%

SRS84%

16%

Elo83%

17%

ILL +5.3

Proj. margin

161.6

Proj. total

74.9

Proj. pace

Neutral site. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 2A.StojakovicG · 3.7 APG21.0
• 34E.Brown7.7 RPG10.0
• 11Q.Coleman6.0 RPG17.0
• 13T.IvisicC · 1.7 BPG8.7
• 1L.Williams5.5 RPG10.0

• 1T.BrownG · 1.7 APG16.3
• 15J.StevensonF · 2.7 RPG8.3
• 17N.AvdalasG · 4.0 APG7.3
• 3M.AbleG · 2.0 APG11.7
• 21S.Keita4.7 RPG7.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2026-27

+19.5Adj. net rating+5.4

1stAdj. net rank71st

117.9Adj. offense110.2

98.4Adj. defense104.8

78.3Pace71.6

27.3SRS16.3

1907Elo1634

2–1Record3–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games / 2026-27 · 4 games

103.3Points83.8

66.3Opp points70.8

64.1%eFG%51.2%

18.0%TO%13.0%

29.6%OREB%29.2%

.27FT rate.39

52%3PA rate44%

55%Assisted FG%50%

Last five games

Illinois

W108-85vs SHSU

L78-84@ TTU

W112-70vs PENN

W120-45vs FDU

L62-71@ CONN

North Carolina

L70-78vs UGA

W76-63vs WYO

W109-70vs WOF

W80-72vs WCU

L78-82vs VCU

Game information

TipSaturday, Jan 30 · time TBD

VenueBridgestone Arena · Nashville, TN

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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