Red Wolves vs Trojans

Gameday · SAT JAN 30

Arkansas StateVSTroy

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Trojan Arena · Troy, AL

Win probability

1912 blend

54% ARSTTROY 46%

Adj. efficiency47%

53%

SRS73%

27%

Elo43%

57%

ARST +2.0

Proj. margin

149.9

Proj. total

71.8

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 33L.TaylorG · 5.0 APG17.0
• 14A.DoumbiaF · 8.3 RPG6.0
• 3R.SmithG · 3.3 APG5.7
• 4D.MuonF · 4.3 RPG4.3
• 2T.Ferguson5.0 RPG10.5

• 1J.HutchinsonG · 3.5 APG10.0
• 3D.OdayG · 2.0 APG14.0
• 4R.Davis Jr.G · 0.8 APG4.3
• 11C.DiggsF · 3.0 RPG6.0
• 7M.IkegwurukaG · 1.0 APG3.8

Ratings

CBBD · 2026-27

-6.8Adj. net rating-9.8

303rdAdj. net rank334th

100.6Adj. offense99.9

107.5Adj. defense109.6

78.0Pace65.6

0.1SRS-9.5

1375Elo1425

1–2Record1–3

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games / 2026-27 · 4 games

74.0Points66.0

84.3Opp points78.0

44.2%eFG%45.3%

17.0%TO%15.0%

41.7%OREB%28.7%

.28FT rate.35

51%3PA rate44%

57%Assisted FG%47%

Last five games

Arkansas State

L65-82vs UTM

L86-101@ ALA

W71-70vs TOL

L77-80vs GASO

W81-58vs UL

Troy

L62-81@ NCSU

W74-69vs LMU

L68-91@ FSU

L60-71vs MASS

L47-76@ NEB

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26ARST 74 · TROY 99Sat, 1/17

25-26TROY 74 · ARST 86Wed, 1/7

24-25ARST 81 · TROY 94Mon, 3/10

24-25TROY 71 · ARST 70Sat, 2/15

24-25ARST 84 · TROY 78Sat, 1/11

23-24TROY 71 · ARST 79Thu, 2/22

23-24ARST 82 · TROY 71Thu, 2/15

22-23ARST 59 · TROY 63Thu, 3/2

22-23TROY 67 · ARST 62Thu, 2/16

22-23ARST 54 · TROY 66Sat, 1/7

Game information

TipSaturday, Jan 30 · time TBD

VenueTrojan Arena · Troy, AL

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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