Rockets vs Falcons

Gameday · SAT JAN 30

ToledoVSBowling Green

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Stroh Center · Bowling Green, OH

Win probability

1912 blend

54% TOLBGSU 46%

Adj. efficiency38%

62%

SRS85%

15%

Elo39%

61%

TOL +3.3

Proj. margin

153.3

Proj. total

71.0

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 5M.StrongG · 2.5 APG16.8
• 1S.JonesG · 6.8 APG8.5
• 32J.OuwingaF · 7.5 RPG12.3
• 25A.ParksC · 1.7 BPG7.0
• 11W.James Jr.G · 0.8 APG4.3

• 7Z.HowellG · 1.0 APG16.7
• 3M.LeachG · 5.7 APG17.7
• 4J.ShackelfordG · 3.3 APG15.7
• 0T.BeckfordF · 6.3 RPG15.7
• 13P.SquireF · 5.3 RPG7.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2026-27

+0.8Adj. net rating+1.5

164thAdj. net rank147th

103.5Adj. offense113.4

102.7Adj. defense111.8

74.3Pace67.8

8.4SRS-6.1

1456Elo1534

1–3Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 4 games / 2026-27 · 3 games

70.0Points86.3

78.5Opp points76.0

42.9%eFG%62.6%

14.0%TO%18.0%

31.1%OREB%31.9%

.33FT rate.35

30%3PA rate45%

62%Assisted FG%49%

Last five games

Toledo

L68-76vs WRST

W81-76@ MRSH

L61-91@ MSU

L70-71@ ARST

L76-79@ AKR

Bowling Green

W88-76vs NIA

W95-79vs CLE

W76-73@ GAST

L76-77@ TOL

W77-69@ EMU

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26BGSU 76 · TOL 77Thu, 3/12

25-26TOL 70 · BGSU 80Sat, 2/14

25-26BGSU 72 · TOL 73Sat, 1/24

24-25BGSU 69 · TOL 68Fri, 2/21

24-25TOL 84 · BGSU 71Fri, 1/24

23-24TOL 68 · BGSU 76Fri, 2/23

23-24BGSU 72 · TOL 88Sat, 1/27

22-23TOL 91 · BGSU 86Sat, 2/18

22-23BGSU 77 · TOL 91Sat, 1/28

21-22BGSU 56 · TOL 96Fri, 3/4

Game information

TipSaturday, Jan 30 · time TBD

VenueStroh Center · Bowling Green, OH

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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