Bulldogs vs Razorbacks

Gameday · SAT JAN 30

Mississippi StateVSArkansasAP #19

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

––Sec

Tip8:30 PM ET

WatchSEC Network

LineNot posted

Bud Walton Arena · Fayetteville, AR

Win probability

1912 blend

73% MSSTARK 27%

Adj. efficiency68%

32%

SRS96%

4%

Elo53%

47%

MSST +1.1

Proj. margin

152.8

Proj. total

70.0

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 12J.HubbardG · 5.0 APG18.0
• 5K.HamiltonF · 6.0 RPG8.7
• 21T.BassongF · 7.3 RPG10.7
• 11R.JohnsonG · 1.7 APG8.7
• 22N.OkaforF · 4.3 RPG2.0

• 23J.Smith Jr.3.7 RPG14.0
• 24B.Richmond IIIF · 4.3 RPG11.7
• 21C.BowserF · 8.0 RPG7.7
• 5J.WilkinsonG · 2.7 APG14.7
• 3M.Muurinen4.0 RPG8.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2026-27

+13.2Adj. net rating+1.5

13thAdj. net rank147th

116.2Adj. offense109.3

103.0Adj. defense107.8

69.8Pace70.3

25.9SRS3.2

1726Elo1702

3–0Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

95.3Points84.7

63.0Opp points68.3

59.9%eFG%55.1%

17.0%TO%17.0%

34.8%OREB%37.1%

.41FT rate.42

39%3PA rate28%

55%Assisted FG%58%

Last five games

Mississippi State

W98-57vs JKST

W82-44vs NWST

W106-88vs TNTC

L61-79@ AUB

L96-102vs UGA

Arkansas

W76-53vs RMU

L72-91@ UVA

W106-61vs UAPB

L88-109@ ARIZ

W94-88vs HPU

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26ARK 88 · MSST 68Sat, 2/7

24-25MSST 92 · ARK 93Sat, 3/8

23-24ARK 67 · MSST 71Sat, 2/17

22-23MSST 70 · ARK 64Sat, 2/11

21-22MSST 55 · ARK 63Sat, 2/5

21-22ARK 68 · MSST 81Wed, 12/29

20-21MSST 45 · ARK 61Tue, 2/2

19-20MSST 78 · ARK 77Sat, 2/15

19-20ARK 70 · MSST 77Wed, 1/22

18-19MSST 77 · ARK 67Sat, 2/16

Game information

TipSaturday, Jan 30 · 8:30 PM ET

VenueBud Walton Arena · Fayetteville, AR

WatchSEC Network

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

An independent fan community, not affiliated with the University of Louisville.