Red Wolves vs Jaguars

Gameday · WED FEB 3

Arkansas StateVSSouth Alabama

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

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Tip8:00 PM ET

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Mitchell Center · Mobile, AL

Win probability

1912 blend

56% ARSTUSA 44%

Adj. efficiency48%

52%

SRS50%

50%

Elo70%

30%

ARST +1.8

Proj. margin

154.6

Proj. total

71.2

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 33L.TaylorG · 5.0 APG17.0
• 14A.DoumbiaF · 8.3 RPG6.0
• 3R.SmithG · 3.3 APG5.7
• 4D.MuonF · 4.3 RPG4.3
• 2T.Ferguson5.0 RPG10.5

• 1J.Langsy2.0 RPG19.0
• 21A.Goldstein2.3 RPG14.7
• 4S.WilliamsF · 10.7 RPG19.7
• 13D.Roman2.7 RPG9.0
• 24D.HueittF · 3.0 RPG3.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+1.0Adj. net rating-2.6

157thAdj. net rank203rd

110.0Adj. offense106.5

109.0Adj. defense109.0

78.0Pace64.3

3.1SRS0.0

1873Elo1724

1–2Record1–2

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

74.0Points76.3

84.3Opp points80.7

44.2%eFG%52.4%

17.0%TO%15.0%

41.7%OREB%29.7%

.28FT rate.29

51%3PA rate38%

57%Assisted FG%46%

Last five games

Arkansas State

L65-82vs UTM

L86-101@ ALA

W71-70vs TOL

L77-80vs GASO

W81-58vs UL

South Alabama

L69-76@ UCF

W83-80vs JVST

L77-86vs OHIO

L67-78@ AUB

L85-94vs GASO

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26USA 92 · ARST 88Sat, 2/14

25-26ARST 87 · USA 91Thu, 1/15

24-25ARST 74 · USA 71Sun, 3/9

24-25USA 60 · ARST 56Wed, 2/19

24-25ARST 62 · USA 76Thu, 1/9

23-24USA 78 · ARST 95Sat, 2/24

23-24ARST 76 · USA 73Sat, 2/17

22-23USA 82 · ARST 62Thu, 2/2

22-23ARST 45 · USA 63Thu, 1/5

21-22ARST 51 · USA 70Sat, 2/12

Game information

TipWednesday, Feb 3 · 8:00 PM ET

VenueMitchell Center · Mobile, AL

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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