Blue Raiders vs Aggies

Gameday · THU FEB 4

Middle TennesseeVSNew Mexico State

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Pan American Center · Las Cruces, NM

Win probability

1912 blend

47% MTSUNMSU 53%

Adj. efficiency43%

57%

SRS42%

58%

Elo55%

45%

NMSU +2.4

Proj. margin

155.6

Proj. total

70.9

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 2J.CarterG · 5.3 APG12.3
• 1Q.Barnett4.0 RPG15.3
• 9O.NavehF · 6.3 RPG4.0
• 0K.SilerC · 1.3 BPG7.7
• 22M.Whitlock Jr.G · 1.3 APG12.3

• 4J.OsborneF · 3.5 RPG8.0
• 0D.DudleyG · 1.5 APG16.0
• 32M.LavrenovF · 7.0 RPG18.0
• 1G.PickensG · 5.0 APG3.0
• 24L.LevillainF · 4.0 RPG4.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+0.7Adj. net rating-0.9

159thAdj. net rank176th

109.8Adj. offense109.5

109.1Adj. defense110.4

72.5Pace69.3

0.2SRS-0.5

1789Elo1754

2–1Record1–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games / 2026-27 · 2 games

78.3Points70.5

76.7Opp points87.5

50.8%eFG%47.6%

18.0%TO%21.0%

35.0%OREB%30.2%

.26FT rate.43

43%3PA rate33%

55%Assisted FG%42%

Last five games

Middle Tennessee

W73-68vs EVAN

L45-89@ KU

W117-73vs Fisk

L69-80@ LT

W75-63@ MOST

New Mexico State

L68-109@ GONZ

W73-66vs Western New Mexico

L61-69@ SHSU

W68-63@ JVST

W79-76vs KENN

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26NMSU 85 · MTSU 86Sat, 2/28

25-26MTSU 59 · NMSU 55Sat, 1/10

24-25MTSU 71 · NMSU 66Thu, 2/27

24-25NMSU 61 · MTSU 57Thu, 1/30

23-24NMSU 69 · MTSU 76Thu, 2/15

23-24MTSU 62 · NMSU 73Sat, 1/20

Game information

TipThursday, Feb 4 · time TBD

VenuePan American Center · Las Cruces, NM

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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