Bears vs Flames

Gameday · THU FEB 4

Missouri StateVSLiberty

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Liberty Arena · Lynchburg, VA

Win probability

1912 blend

31% MOSTLIB 69%

Adj. efficiency22%

78%

SRS22%

78%

Elo47%

53%

LIB +5.7

Proj. margin

158.7

Proj. total

70.5

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 1T.Williams Jr.G · 8.0 APG17.0
• 15A.AcimovicC · 2.7 BPG22.0
• 35J.Blair4.7 RPG2.7
• 6D.Rowe2.7 RPG10.0
• 23C.ThompsonF · 5.3 RPG3.0

• 11E.Sancomb7.5 RPG12.0
• 1Z.CarterG · 3.5 APG17.5
• 3C.CampbellG · 3.5 APG13.0
• 2E.Herbert3.0 RPG5.0
• 4D.Claussen3.0 RPG2.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-2.1Adj. net rating+5.6

194thAdj. net rank109th

109.4Adj. offense117.4

111.5Adj. defense111.8

71.5Pace69.5

-1.9SRS3.5

1768Elo1787

3–0Record1–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games / 2026-27 · 2 games

85.3Points85.0

61.3Opp points63.0

61.2%eFG%59.2%

16.0%TO%13.0%

21.8%OREB%27.6%

.34FT rate.18

40%3PA rate44%

59%Assisted FG%52%

Last five games

Missouri State

W89-62vs Newman University

W79-62vs Truman State

W88-60vs Lincoln (MO)

L66-69@ LT

W77-69@ LIB

Liberty

W113-54vs Boyce

L57-72@ HPU

L63-73@ NEV

W77-71@ GMU

L69-77vs MOST

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26MOST 77 · LIB 69Wed, 3/11

25-26MOST 76 · LIB 79Sat, 2/7

Game information

TipThursday, Feb 4 · time TBD

VenueLiberty Arena · Lynchburg, VA

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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