Retrievers vs Great Danes
Win probability
1912 blend77% UMBCALB 23%
UMBC +1.7
Proj. margin
158.0
Proj. total
71.7
Proj. pace
Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.
Projected starters
PPG
1G · 2.3 APG10.3
13G · 1.3 APG16.3
43.3 RPG10.3
12F · 7.7 RPG4.0
23F · 5.7 RPG11.7
23.8 RPG18.0
14G · 1.0 APG9.0
236.3 RPG9.5
7G · 0.0 APG4.8
12.8 RPG16.8
Ratings
CBBD · 2025-26-2.5Adj. net rating-15.7
200thAdj. net rank317th
108.3Adj. offense102.9
110.8Adj. defense118.6
75.3Pace68.1
3.5SRS-6.0
1887Elo1582
2–2Record2–2
Season per game
2026-27 · 4 games77.5Points70.5
75.3Opp points73.3
48.9%eFG%49.0%
18.0%TO%20.0%
27.7%OREB%36.2%
.24FT rate.27
46%3PA rate31%
54%Assisted FG%49%
Last five games
UMBC
W91-61vs McDaniel
L80-88@ MRST
L54-82@ GMU
L83-86@ HOW
W74-59vs UVM
UAlbany
L76-85vs DART
L60-73vs MRMK
W72-68@ MAN
W74-67vs Rhode Island College
L76-81@ UML
Head to head
Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-2725-26ALB 62 · UMBC 66Sat, 2/21
25-26UMBC 68 · ALB 65Sat, 1/31
24-25ALB 78 · UMBC 74Thu, 2/27
24-25UMBC 92 · ALB 87Thu, 1/23
23-24ALB 75 · UMBC 80Sat, 2/17
23-24UMBC 114 · ALB 102Sat, 2/3
22-23UMBC 74 · ALB 81Wed, 2/15
22-23ALB 83 · UMBC 92Thu, 1/5
21-22UMBC 59 · ALB 53Wed, 2/2
21-22ALB 66 · UMBC 54Wed, 1/19
Game information
TipSaturday, Feb 6 · time TBD
VenueBroadview Center · Albany, NY
Abbreviations
Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
PacePossessions per 40 minutes
PPGPoints per game
eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three
Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData
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