Keydets vs Buccaneers

Gameday · SAT FEB 6

VMIVSEast Tennessee State

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Freedom Hall (TN) · Johnson City, TN

Win probability

1912 blend

4% VMIETSU 96%

Adj. efficiency2%

98%

SRS2%

98%

Elo8%

92%

ETSU +12.7

Proj. margin

151.0

Proj. total

68.7

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 1R.Bradley Jr.G · 3.8 APG12.3
• 44T.JohnsonF · 3.5 RPG17.8
• 9A.DaushviliF · 8.3 RPG8.8
• 11P.Narvilas4.8 RPG4.5
• 23T.JohnsonG · 2.3 APG8.8

• 0B.WardG · 4.0 APG16.7
• 11M.MarionF · 6.0 RPG7.3
• 1J.CooperG · 1.3 APG7.7
• 7T.MasonG · 1.7 APG13.7
• 8K.CampbellF · 3.0 RPG1.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-26.3Adj. net rating+2.0

358thAdj. net rank145th

97.4Adj. offense110.2

123.7Adj. defense108.3

76.6Pace60.8

-15.2SRS4.6

1358Elo1787

2–2Record1–2

Season per game

2026-27 · 4 games / 2026-27 · 3 games

79.5Points65.3

74.8Opp points68.3

46.8%eFG%54.1%

21.0%TO%22.0%

35.4%OREB%34.0%

.36FT rate.23

44%3PA rate45%

54%Assisted FG%49%

Last five games

VMI

W65-51vs NCCU

L68-70@ UTSA

L70-95@ SMU

W115-83vs Virginia-Lynchburg

L70-84@ UNCG

East Tennessee State

W68-53vs CAM

L63-77@ NCSU

L65-75@ ASU

L61-76vs FUR

W69-67vs WCU

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26ETSU 87 · VMI 70Sat, 2/7

25-26VMI 67 · ETSU 81Wed, 1/7

24-25ETSU 62 · VMI 55Wed, 2/5

24-25VMI 69 · ETSU 84Wed, 1/1

23-24VMI 66 · ETSU 98Fri, 3/8

23-24VMI 69 · ETSU 82Wed, 2/21

23-24ETSU 74 · VMI 73Wed, 1/24

22-23VMI 65 · ETSU 69Fri, 2/10

22-23ETSU 64 · VMI 50Sat, 12/31

21-22ETSU 79 · VMI 83Sat, 1/29

Game information

TipSaturday, Feb 6 · time TBD

VenueFreedom Hall (TN) · Johnson City, TN

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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