Tommies vs Bison

Gameday · SAT FEB 6

St. Thomas-MinnesotaVSNorth Dakota State

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

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Tip2:00 PM ET

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Scheels Center · Fargo, ND

Win probability

1912 blend

46% STMNNDSU 54%

Adj. efficiency43%

57%

SRS40%

60%

Elo56%

44%

NDSU +2.6

Proj. margin

150.5

Proj. total

68.5

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 1H.TibbitsG · 4.3 APG15.0
• 5T.FranksG · 1.3 APG13.3
• 33J.LorenzF · 6.0 RPG12.8
• 32C.BjerkeF · 4.3 RPG7.8
• 2A.HerroG · 2.7 APG3.7

• 0R.Diaz IIIG · 2.5 APG14.0
• 44A.NagyF · 4.0 RPG9.5
• 1M.Bell Jr.G · 0.5 APG6.8
• 3K.Tate6.0 RPG3.5
• 5A.StefonowiczG · 5.0 APG8.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+5.9Adj. net rating+4.4

106thAdj. net rank123rd

113.4Adj. offense111.3

107.6Adj. defense106.8

69.1Pace68.0

6.0SRS5.7

1988Elo1947

2–2Record1–3

Season per game

2026-27 · 4 games

83.8Points76.0

78.0Opp points83.5

56.2%eFG%50.2%

14.0%TO%17.0%

27.1%OREB%41.2%

.37FT rate.28

51%3PA rate46%

61%Assisted FG%46%

Last five games

St. Thomas-Minnesota

W119-82vs Macalester

L67-76vs GB

L62-76@ MINN

W87-78@ PRES

L52-67@ SEA

North Dakota State

L80-91@ CSUB

L70-79@ SF

L64-105@ SMC

W90-59vs Minnesota Crookston

L67-92@ MSU

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26NDSU 62 · STMN 84Thu, 2/26

25-26STMN 65 · NDSU 68Sat, 1/17

24-25NDSU 62 · STMN 79Sun, 2/2

24-25STMN 89 · NDSU 85Thu, 1/2

23-24NDSU 58 · STMN 68Sun, 3/10

23-24STMN 50 · NDSU 64Thu, 2/22

23-24NDSU 66 · STMN 79Thu, 1/25

22-23STMN 64 · NDSU 73Thu, 2/23

22-23NDSU 68 · STMN 78Wed, 12/21

21-22NDSU 75 · STMN 64Sat, 2/12

Game information

TipSaturday, Feb 6 · 2:00 PM ET

VenueScheels Center · Fargo, ND

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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