Blue Raiders vs Bearkats

Gameday · SAT FEB 6

Middle TennesseeVSSam Houston

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Bernard G. Johnson Coliseum · Huntsville, TX

Win probability

1912 blend

34% MTSUSHSU 66%

Adj. efficiency28%

72%

SRS28%

72%

Elo45%

55%

SHSU +4.7

Proj. margin

165.9

Proj. total

75.3

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 2J.CarterG · 5.3 APG12.3
• 1Q.Barnett4.0 RPG15.3
• 9O.NavehF · 6.3 RPG4.0
• 0K.SilerC · 1.3 BPG7.7
• 22M.Whitlock Jr.G · 1.3 APG12.3

• 2J.ColemanG · 1.0 APG16.3
• 10E.BernardF · 7.3 RPG6.3
• 11A.McDowell3.7 RPG16.0
• 5J.BeggG · 4.7 APG10.3
• 18R.GreppiF · 4.7 RPG4.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+0.7Adj. net rating+5.2

159thAdj. net rank112th

109.8Adj. offense113.6

109.1Adj. defense108.3

72.5Pace78.0

0.2SRS3.5

1789Elo1827

2–1Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

78.3Points87.0

76.7Opp points77.3

50.8%eFG%51.0%

18.0%TO%21.0%

35.0%OREB%33.5%

.26FT rate.41

43%3PA rate40%

55%Assisted FG%49%

Last five games

Middle Tennessee

W73-68vs EVAN

L45-89@ KU

W117-73vs Fisk

L69-80@ LT

W75-63@ MOST

Sam Houston

W85-77vs PEPP

W102-59vs Howard Payne

L74-96@ ALA

L83-107@ UNM

L73-79vs KENN

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26MTSU 70 · SHSU 78Wed, 2/18

25-26SHSU 67 · MTSU 68Sun, 1/4

24-25SHSU 70 · MTSU 74Sat, 2/22

24-25MTSU 77 · SHSU 75Thu, 1/23

23-24MTSU 64 · SHSU 81Sat, 3/2

23-24SHSU 60 · MTSU 51Sat, 1/13

Game information

TipSaturday, Feb 6 · time TBD

VenueBernard G. Johnson Coliseum · Huntsville, TX

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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