Cardinals vs Rockets

Gameday · TUE FEB 9

Ball StateVSToledo

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Savage Arena · Toledo, OH

Win probability

1912 blend

16% BALLTOL 84%

Adj. efficiency10%

90%

SRS12%

88%

Elo26%

74%

TOL +8.5

Proj. margin

155.8

Proj. total

72.0

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 24M.JonesF · 8.3 RPG4.7
• 1T.LewisG · 0.3 APG7.3
• 0S.BlakeG · 3.3 APG15.0
• 5K.ParkerG · 0.0 APG8.5
• 2J.Guy-KingG · 1.3 APG14.7

• 5M.StrongG · 2.5 APG16.8
• 1S.JonesG · 6.8 APG8.5
• 32J.OuwingaF · 7.5 RPG12.3
• 25A.ParksC · 1.7 BPG7.0
• 11W.James Jr.G · 0.8 APG4.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-12.0Adj. net rating+3.3

294thAdj. net rank130th

97.7Adj. offense114.2

109.7Adj. defense111.0

69.8Pace74.3

-7.2SRS2.6

1749Elo1932

1–2Record1–3

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games / 2026-27 · 4 games

70.0Points70.0

66.7Opp points78.5

46.8%eFG%42.9%

20.0%TO%14.0%

30.9%OREB%31.1%

.43FT rate.33

47%3PA rate30%

42%Assisted FG%62%

Last five games

Ball State

W89-64vs Brescia

L66-69vs INST

L55-67@ GASO

W85-69vs CMU

W74-71@ WMU

Toledo

L68-76vs WRST

W81-76@ MRSH

L61-91@ MSU

L70-71@ ARST

L76-79@ AKR

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26BALL 55 · TOL 73Sat, 1/31

24-25BALL 66 · TOL 67Tue, 2/18

24-25TOL 93 · BALL 75Sat, 1/18

23-24BALL 72 · TOL 77Sat, 1/13

22-23TOL 87 · BALL 81Fri, 3/3

22-23BALL 90 · TOL 83Tue, 1/3

21-22TOL 83 · BALL 93Fri, 2/4

21-22BALL 70 · TOL 83Tue, 1/18

20-21BALL 89 · TOL 91Thu, 3/11

20-21BALL 70 · TOL 89Fri, 3/5

Game information

TipTuesday, Feb 9 · time TBD

VenueSavage Arena · Toledo, OH

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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