Black Bears vs Retrievers

Gameday · THU FEB 11

MaineVSUMBC

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

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Tip6:00 PM ET

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena · Baltimore, MD

Win probability

1912 blend

8% MEUMBC 92%

Adj. efficiency7%

93%

SRS9%

91%

Elo7%

93%

UMBC +9.5

Proj. margin

154.2

Proj. total

73.0

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 2D.WilliamsG · 2.3 APG10.3
• 11A.FlaggF · 4.0 RPG7.0
• 1V.AdstenG · 1.5 APG9.8
• 10K.GribbenF · 4.5 RPG5.3
• 8D.LopesG · 0.8 APG6.0

• 1F.BurtonG · 2.3 APG10.3
• 13D.CeaserG · 1.3 APG16.3
• 4A.Able3.3 RPG10.3
• 12J.RisticF · 7.7 RPG4.0
• 23R.JacobsF · 5.7 RPG11.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-20.2Adj. net rating-2.5

341stAdj. net rank200th

91.5Adj. offense108.3

111.7Adj. defense110.8

70.8Pace75.3

-8.4SRS3.5

1442Elo1887

1–3Record2–2

Season per game

2026-27 · 4 games

64.3Points77.5

73.5Opp points75.3

49.5%eFG%48.9%

23.0%TO%18.0%

18.8%OREB%27.7%

.43FT rate.24

44%3PA rate46%

64%Assisted FG%54%

Last five games

Maine

L65-71@ URI

L62-68vs MAN

W74-72@ SHU

L56-83@ PROV

L58-60@ NJIT

UMBC

W91-61vs McDaniel

L80-88@ MRST

L54-82@ GMU

L83-86@ HOW

W74-59vs UVM

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26UMBC 78 · ME 62Thu, 2/12

25-26ME 62 · UMBC 69Thu, 1/8

24-25UMBC 50 · ME 73Sat, 2/8

24-25ME 87 · UMBC 62Sat, 1/18

23-24UMBC 56 · ME 62Thu, 2/22

23-24ME 65 · UMBC 70Thu, 1/18

22-23UMBC 49 · ME 84Sat, 2/4

22-23ME 77 · UMBC 85Sat, 1/14

21-22ME 79 · UMBC 93Sat, 2/26

21-22UMBC 88 · ME 46Sat, 1/22

Game information

TipThursday, Feb 11 · 6:00 PM ET

VenueChesapeake Employers Insurance Arena · Baltimore, MD

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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