Trojans vs Red Wolves

Gameday · SAT FEB 13

TroyVSArkansas State

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

First National Bank Arena · Jonesboro, AR

Win probability

1912 blend

37% TROYARST 63%

Adj. efficiency41%

59%

SRS38%

62%

Elo32%

68%

ARST +2.8

Proj. margin

158.5

Proj. total

72.2

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 1J.HutchinsonG · 4.3 APG12.0
• 3D.OdayG · 2.0 APG14.7
• 4R.Davis Jr.G · 1.0 APG3.7
• 11C.DiggsF · 4.0 RPG7.0
• 7M.IkegwurukaG · 0.7 APG3.7

• 33L.TaylorG · 5.0 APG17.0
• 14A.DoumbiaF · 8.3 RPG6.0
• 3R.SmithG · 3.3 APG5.7
• 4D.MuonF · 4.3 RPG4.3
• 2T.Ferguson5.0 RPG10.5

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+1.6Adj. net rating+1.0

148thAdj. net rank157th

110.8Adj. offense110.0

109.2Adj. defense109.0

66.4Pace78.0

2.7SRS3.1

1746Elo1873

1–2Record1–2

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

67.3Points74.0

77.0Opp points84.3

46.6%eFG%44.2%

16.0%TO%17.0%

26.7%OREB%41.7%

.35FT rate.28

45%3PA rate51%

47%Assisted FG%57%

Last five games

Troy

W74-69vs LMU

L68-91@ FSU

L60-71vs MASS

L47-76@ NEB

W77-61vs GASO

Arkansas State

L65-82vs UTM

L86-101@ ALA

W71-70vs TOL

L77-80vs GASO

W81-58vs UL

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26ARST 74 · TROY 99Sat, 1/17

25-26TROY 74 · ARST 86Wed, 1/7

24-25ARST 81 · TROY 94Mon, 3/10

24-25TROY 71 · ARST 70Sat, 2/15

24-25ARST 84 · TROY 78Sat, 1/11

23-24TROY 71 · ARST 79Thu, 2/22

23-24ARST 82 · TROY 71Thu, 2/15

22-23ARST 59 · TROY 63Thu, 3/2

22-23TROY 67 · ARST 62Thu, 2/16

22-23ARST 54 · TROY 66Sat, 1/7

Game information

TipSaturday, Feb 13 · time TBD

VenueFirst National Bank Arena · Jonesboro, AR

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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