Falcons vs Spartans

Gameday · SAT FEB 13

Air ForceVSSan José State

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Provident Credit Union Event Center · San Jose, CA

Win probability

1912 blend

11% AFASJSU 89%

Adj. efficiency8%

92%

SRS14%

86%

Elo11%

89%

SJSU +9.1

Proj. margin

170.1

Proj. total

77.2

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 33G.Best4.8 RPG18.5
• 3K.SandersG · 4.5 APG20.3
• 24L.HobinF · 4.5 RPG16.0
• 10C.WalkerF · 8.7 RPG12.0
• 15J.HindsG · 1.0 APG3.8

• 11M.MasonG · 2.0 APG17.5
• 20J.ChammaaG · 4.0 APG21.5
• 2J.HannahG · 5.5 APG8.0
• 22R.VaiholaC · 0.5 BPG7.5
• 23Z.BedriF · 1.5 RPG6.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-21.9Adj. net rating-6.2

348thAdj. net rank235th

94.5Adj. offense111.9

116.4Adj. defense118.0

80.9Pace73.5

-16.2SRS-7.5

1174Elo1546

3–1Record1–2

Season per game

2026-27 · 4 games / 2026-27 · 3 games

93.5Points83.0

83.8Opp points81.7

47.2%eFG%62.9%

13.0%TO%25.0%

43.4%OREB%26.0%

.50FT rate.36

39%3PA rate44%

51%Assisted FG%63%

Last five games

Air Force

W107-93vs LUC

W89-82vs IDST

W107-58vs Calumet College

L71-102@ WRST

L45-80@ NEV

San José State

L79-91@ UCI

W95-74vs UTSA

L77-93@ UNM

W84-74@ BOIS

L78-88vs WYO

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26SJSU 86 · AFA 80Tue, 2/24

25-26AFA 62 · SJSU 70Tue, 1/13

24-25AFA 64 · SJSU 75Sat, 2/1

24-25SJSU 69 · AFA 62Sat, 1/11

23-24AFA 66 · SJSU 73Tue, 2/13

23-24SJSU 70 · AFA 67Sat, 1/13

22-23SJSU 63 · AFA 61Sat, 3/4

22-23AFA 52 · SJSU 82Tue, 1/24

21-22SJSU 54 · AFA 58Tue, 3/1

21-22AFA 63 · SJSU 53Tue, 1/25

Game information

TipSaturday, Feb 13 · time TBD

VenueProvident Credit Union Event Center · San Jose, CA

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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