Bulldogs vs Crimson Tide

Gameday · TUE FEB 16

Mississippi StateVSAlabamaAP #18

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

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Tip9:00 PM ET

WatchSEC Network

LineNot posted

Coleman Coliseum · Tuscaloosa, AL

Win probability

1912 blend

4% MSSTALA 96%

Adj. efficiency4%

96%

SRS5%

95%

Elo4%

96%

ALA +11.3

Proj. margin

166.8

Proj. total

74.5

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 12J.HubbardG · 5.0 APG18.0
• 5K.HamiltonF · 6.0 RPG8.7
• 21T.BassongF · 7.3 RPG10.7
• 11R.JohnsonG · 1.7 APG8.7
• 22N.OkaforF · 4.3 RPG2.0

• 5A.AllenF · 6.3 RPG14.0
• 9B.GarrisonF · 5.0 RPG10.7
• 6L.JemisonF · 3.0 RPG14.3
• 11Q.Samuels2.0 RPG11.3
• 8D.FielderF · 5.0 RPG13.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+5.9Adj. net rating+28.2

106thAdj. net rank12th

111.8Adj. offense129.1

105.9Adj. defense100.9

69.8Pace79.2

0.0SRS14.9

1619Elo2158

3–0Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

95.3Points102.0

63.0Opp points76.0

59.9%eFG%59.4%

17.0%TO%15.0%

34.8%OREB%34.4%

.41FT rate.33

39%3PA rate60%

55%Assisted FG%65%

Last five games

Mississippi State

W98-57vs JKST

W82-44vs NWST

W106-88vs TNTC

L61-79@ AUB

L96-102vs UGA

Alabama

W109-68vs OAK

W101-86vs ARST

W96-74vs SHSU

L77-90@ MICH

W90-65vs TTU

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26MSST 75 · ALA 100Wed, 2/25

25-26ALA 97 · MSST 82Tue, 1/13

24-25MSST 73 · ALA 111Tue, 2/25

24-25ALA 88 · MSST 84Wed, 1/29

23-24MSST 67 · ALA 99Sat, 2/3

23-24ALA 82 · MSST 74Sat, 1/13

22-23MSST 49 · ALA 72Fri, 3/10

22-23MSST 63 · ALA 66Wed, 1/25

22-23ALA 78 · MSST 67Wed, 12/28

21-22MSST 75 · ALA 80Wed, 2/16

Game information

TipTuesday, Feb 16 · 9:00 PM ET

VenueColeman Coliseum · Tuscaloosa, AL

WatchSEC Network

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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