Red Wolves vs Warhawks

Gameday · SAT FEB 20

Arkansas StateVSUL Monroe

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

––Sec

Tip3:30 PM ET

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Fant-Ewing Coliseum · Monroe, LA

Win probability

1912 blend

92% ARSTULM 8%

Adj. efficiency91%

9%

SRS90%

10%

Elo95%

5%

ARST +5.9

Proj. margin

167.5

Proj. total

75.8

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 33L.TaylorG · 5.0 APG17.0
• 14A.DoumbiaF · 8.3 RPG6.0
• 3R.SmithG · 3.3 APG5.7
• 4D.MuonF · 4.3 RPG4.3
• 2T.Ferguson5.0 RPG10.5

• 1D.AndersonG · 2.8 APG16.8
• 2P.Tillman2.0 RPG8.5
• 5L.CarrF · 8.0 RPG7.0
• 0Q.McPhersonG · 1.8 APG16.8
• 11Z.Ndancky6.0 RPG8.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+1.0Adj. net rating-22.5

157thAdj. net rank350th

110.0Adj. offense100.4

109.0Adj. defense122.9

78.0Pace73.5

3.1SRS-13.8

1873Elo1347

1–2Record1–3

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games / 2026-27 · 4 games

74.0Points84.0

84.3Opp points86.5

44.2%eFG%51.3%

17.0%TO%21.0%

41.7%OREB%36.5%

.28FT rate.36

51%3PA rate45%

57%Assisted FG%48%

Last five games

Arkansas State

L65-82vs UTM

L86-101@ ALA

W71-70vs TOL

L77-80vs GASO

W81-58vs UL

UL Monroe

L92-100@ TCU

L67-108@ TA&M

W99-55vs Champion Christian

L78-83vs CMU

L80-87@ ODU

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26ARST 102 · ULM 94Sat, 2/21

25-26ULM 70 · ARST 103Wed, 2/11

24-25ARST 94 · ULM 67Fri, 2/28

24-25ULM 70 · ARST 95Sat, 2/22

23-24ULM 80 · ARST 95Sat, 2/3

23-24ARST 82 · ULM 85Sun, 1/28

22-23ARST 64 · ULM 61Fri, 2/24

22-23ULM 84 · ARST 72Sat, 12/31

21-22ULM 77 · ARST 81Thu, 3/3

21-22ULM 60 · ARST 59Thu, 2/3

Game information

TipSaturday, Feb 20 · 3:30 PM ET

VenueFant-Ewing Coliseum · Monroe, LA

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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