Falcons vs Rockets

Gameday · SAT FEB 20

Bowling GreenVSToledo

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Savage Arena · Toledo, OH

Win probability

1912 blend

38% BGSUTOL 62%

Adj. efficiency37%

63%

SRS37%

63%

Elo40%

60%

TOL +3.2

Proj. margin

153.0

Proj. total

70.0

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 7Z.HowellG · 1.0 APG16.7
• 3M.LeachG · 5.7 APG17.7
• 4J.ShackelfordG · 3.3 APG15.7
• 0T.BeckfordF · 6.3 RPG15.7
• 13P.SquireF · 5.3 RPG7.7

• 5M.StrongG · 2.5 APG16.8
• 1S.JonesG · 6.8 APG8.5
• 32J.OuwingaF · 7.5 RPG12.3
• 25A.ParksC · 1.7 BPG7.0
• 11W.James Jr.G · 0.8 APG4.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+2.5Adj. net rating+3.3

140thAdj. net rank130th

107.0Adj. offense114.2

104.5Adj. defense111.0

65.8Pace74.3

1.9SRS2.6

1861Elo1932

2–0Record1–3

Season per game

2026-27 · 2 games / 2026-27 · 4 games

85.5Points70.0

76.0Opp points78.5

64.5%eFG%42.9%

16.0%TO%14.0%

28.4%OREB%31.1%

.39FT rate.33

45%3PA rate30%

52%Assisted FG%62%

Last five games

Bowling Green

W95-79vs CLE

W76-73@ GAST

L76-77@ TOL

W77-69@ EMU

W81-62vs MASS

Toledo

L68-76vs WRST

W81-76@ MRSH

L61-91@ MSU

L70-71@ ARST

L76-79@ AKR

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26BGSU 76 · TOL 77Thu, 3/12

25-26TOL 70 · BGSU 80Sat, 2/14

25-26BGSU 72 · TOL 73Sat, 1/24

24-25BGSU 69 · TOL 68Fri, 2/21

24-25TOL 84 · BGSU 71Fri, 1/24

23-24TOL 68 · BGSU 76Fri, 2/23

23-24BGSU 72 · TOL 88Sat, 1/27

22-23TOL 91 · BGSU 86Sat, 2/18

22-23BGSU 77 · TOL 91Sat, 1/28

21-22BGSU 56 · TOL 96Fri, 3/4

Game information

TipSaturday, Feb 20 · time TBD

VenueSavage Arena · Toledo, OH

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

An independent fan community, not affiliated with the University of Louisville.