Red Wolves vs Golden Eagles

Gameday · WED FEB 24

Arkansas StateVSSouthern Miss

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

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Tip8:30 PM ET

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Reed Green Coliseum · Hattiesburg, MS

Win probability

1912 blend

61% ARSTUSM 39%

Adj. efficiency56%

44%

SRS56%

44%

Elo69%

31%

ARST +0.6

Proj. margin

163.9

Proj. total

75.5

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 33L.TaylorG · 5.0 APG17.0
• 14A.DoumbiaF · 8.3 RPG6.0
• 3R.SmithG · 3.3 APG5.7
• 4D.MuonF · 4.3 RPG4.3
• 2T.Ferguson5.0 RPG10.5

• 2J.Gaines-WyattPG · 2.3 RPG14.7
• 8A.Igiede3.7 RPG9.7
• 20B.WestonG · 1.3 APG9.7
• 10I.TaverasG · 1.7 APG9.0
• 49M.Blank2.0 RPG1.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+1.0Adj. net rating-5.3

157thAdj. net rank221st

110.0Adj. offense104.8

109.0Adj. defense110.1

78.0Pace73.1

3.1SRS-1.6

1873Elo1733

1–2Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

74.0Points74.3

84.3Opp points66.0

44.2%eFG%47.2%

17.0%TO%24.0%

41.7%OREB%34.3%

.28FT rate.47

51%3PA rate37%

57%Assisted FG%53%

Last five games

Arkansas State

L65-82vs UTM

L86-101@ ALA

W71-70vs TOL

L77-80vs GASO

W81-58vs UL

Southern Miss

W84-80vs JKST

L57-83@ ISU

W82-35vs Tougaloo

L70-78@ TROY

W86-73@ APP

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26USM 84 · ARST 89Tue, 2/24

25-26ARST 93 · USM 86Sat, 12/20

24-25USM 67 · ARST 101Wed, 2/12

24-25ARST 81 · USM 68Wed, 1/29

23-24USM 71 · ARST 78Wed, 1/31

23-24ARST 66 · USM 69Wed, 1/17

22-23ARST 57 · USM 73Thu, 1/26

22-23USM 74 · ARST 57Sat, 1/14

Game information

TipWednesday, Feb 24 · 8:30 PM ET

VenueReed Green Coliseum · Hattiesburg, MS

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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