Falcons vs Minutemen

Gameday · SAT FEB 27

Bowling GreenVSMassachusetts

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Mullins Center · Amherst, MA

Win probability

1912 blend

54% BGSUMASS 46%

Adj. efficiency49%

51%

SRS49%

51%

Elo63%

37%

BGSU +1.6

Proj. margin

143.6

Proj. total

66.5

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 7Z.HowellG · 1.0 APG16.7
• 3M.LeachG · 5.7 APG17.7
• 4J.ShackelfordG · 3.3 APG15.7
• 0T.BeckfordF · 6.3 RPG15.7
• 13P.SquireF · 5.3 RPG7.7

• 3J.ClaytonG · 2.7 APG12.3
• 0D.CarbucciaG · 7.0 APG3.3
• 2D.Wimbley Jr.F · 8.0 RPG11.3
• 10J.WangF · 9.3 RPG17.7
• 1A.AhmedC · 4.0 BPG6.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+2.5Adj. net rating-1.8

140thAdj. net rank188th

107.0Adj. offense109.1

104.5Adj. defense110.9

65.8Pace67.3

1.9SRS-0.7

1861Elo1768

2–0Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 2 games / 2026-27 · 3 games

85.5Points66.0

76.0Opp points64.3

64.5%eFG%46.5%

16.0%TO%21.0%

28.4%OREB%33.3%

.39FT rate.25

45%3PA rate35%

52%Assisted FG%56%

Last five games

Bowling Green

W95-79vs CLE

W76-73@ GAST

L76-77@ TOL

W77-69@ EMU

W81-62vs MASS

Massachusetts

W72-62vs UML

L55-71@ BC

W71-60@ TROY

L67-77@ TOL

W87-83@ M-OH

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26MASS 62 · BGSU 81Sat, 2/28

25-26BGSU 101 · MASS 100Sat, 1/3

Game information

TipSaturday, Feb 27 · time TBD

VenueMullins Center · Amherst, MA

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

An independent fan community, not affiliated with the University of Louisville.